The TEN - Alicia Monson wants way more than the American record. Wavelight to be set at 29:37 pace

In person...don't think anyone else is streaming

It was pay per view last year...but to get the right status to count appropriately in world rankings or something they needed a certain amount of guaranteed prize money...only way to get that was to partner with FloTrack

Her PRs, which are 14:54/31:04, and were run last year, make running 30:00 seem very unlikely. I’m thinking the online performance calculators don’t yet account for the effects of the new road race shoes.

She's much better the longer you go. Sub-30:00 is a bit aggressive, but she is gonna crush 31:04. I'd put money on 30:30 for her.

What if a lapped runner helps out with pacing?

I know you can't do that in a championship race, but this is just a time trial. So wouldn't their times still count if a lapped runner paced them?

Her mileage is up a lot and that HM was a breakthrough and outlier performance. The 10,000 race was not particularly well set up for a maximal time. She ran with a group behind the winner (who broke 30). So it was basically no-man's land or where she was, and she draw pretty far clear of good runners in Warner-Judd (30:41 this year) and Battocletti (14:41 at Worlds, Runner-Up European XC).

That's a difficult question. UKA plays fast and loose with its selection criteria. If she ran sub 31 at The Ten, then they could choose to send her as it would represent a development opportunity for a young talent. And it wouldn't be beyond the realms of imagination to think she could get top-8 since often, the Kenyan and Ethiopian runners just jog it home if they know they can't medal. Jess Warner-Judd ended up 8th in Budapest but certainly didn't go into the race as a top-10 seed.

On Keith's side is that there are unlikely to be more than three women that qualify (McColgan has the standard, Judd will probably get it, and Keith is qualified via XC rankings). So if they do send her, they aren't denying a place to another qualified athlete. And UKA has previously favoured sending younger athletes with some promise e.g. selecting Issy Boffey ahead of Alex Bell in the 800 last year.

Where is Elise Cranny??

Just based on how they're doing things...she'd be probably a lock to get in with the standard. If she didn't, but runs sub-31 it's probably 80-20. But it would be a 0% chance if she was over the age of 30 let's say. Because she's so young and has some strong European results, I think she'd get it especially if she runs well at European Champs (medal or top 5).

Dropping down to the 1500/5000 as her focus this year. Most likely 5000 for the trials.

Interested in Rojo's take on what this development means for Grant Fisher's chances of medalling.

I like it. She had it pretty good sitting and kicking at US champs in the 10,000, but I just think the comp is too hard at the 10,000.

Monson had a very good 2 mile at Millrose running 9:09 for the AR. But 29:37 is another level beyond that. So I'll be interested to hear after the race how they got to that number based on I assume some solid workouts between then and now.

Do remember she said she had a tough bout of COVID in the beginning of the year and was not at full fitness for Millrose. Also, the ON group seemed to be training through more this year than past years.

I'm glad to hear at least that there was a non-greedy reason they chose to air on FloTrack this year.

Hoping Monson runs a huge PB here. Very likeable and easy to root for athlete.

I would love to see 3 American men run sub 27 minutes (Fisher, Young, and?)

Alicia Monson not only run sub 30 but actually keep up with the target pace and post 29:35 at least.

It's time Americans become serious medal contenders (even if it's not for THE Gold) again in the longest track race.

Won’t be happening. Too much competition outside the US. Monson isn’t even close to be Olympic podium