blue 7 wrote:
Someone will come along to do a detailed statistical analysis of the effect that the new shoes are having on performance. Many of us will guess that there is some positive effect. But as others have said better training (and nutrition, rest, etc.) also plays a part. I think many kids were doing heavier mileage back in the 70s, 80s, etc., than now. The difference is that many of those miles were junk miles. Did anyone know about tempo runs, threshold, and other concepts that many coaches know today?
Shoes play a very, very small part. The big leap really began around 2010. From 2010-2020 there were 7 HSers under 4 in the mile, double the amount from the previous 50 years. This was all before the shoes.
The truth is, America was in the running dark ages from 1980-2010. Sure there were flashes of talent, but the depth was abysmal. I attribute this shift mostly to the internet, not to shoe technology. There is so much good training advice available to athletes and coaches instantly now, that most kids are being trained reasonably well. Also, kids are able to access results from any race instantly now, which really changes the mentality. A stud HSer these days isn't just content run 4:15 and win their state championship, they're motivated to raise their game to the other studs across the country running 4:10 and 4:05. When 4:15 is average, why would you want to settle for being average?