2023 NCAA Cross Country Regionals

All nine men's regionals have been completed and we have our 31 projected qualifiers.

The big developments on the men's side?

-The Furman men were expected to auto-qualify in the Southeast but finished 8th and now they won't go to NCAAs at all. Meanwhile the NC State men weren't expected to go, but they finished 3rd and will earn an at-large spot.
-Gonzaga stepped up and ran great and finished 2nd in the West. Likewise Portland was 3rd and are going to NCAAs as well. Neither was projected to qualify before regionals.
-Montana State got 5th at the Mountain regional and will be going to NCAAs
-Oregon men were only 7th at the West regional and will not be going to NCAAs

Reminder: these are unofficial projections based on Bo Waggoner's computer program at XCquals.com.

1. Butler
2. Wisconsin
3. Princeton
4. Villanova
5. Oklahoma State
6. Iowa State
7. Northern Arizona
8. BYU
9. Iona
10. Harvard
11. Tennessee
12. Florida State
13. Texas
14. Arkansas
15. North Carolina
16. Eastern Kentucky
17. Stanford
18. Gonzaga
19. Syracuse
20. Portland
21. CBU
22. NC State
23. Wake Forest
24. Virginia
25. Michigan
26. Notre Dame
27. New Mexico
28. Air Force
29. Montana State
30. Colorado
31. Georgetown

The men's Great Lakes regional is wrapping up soon and the final regional of the day, the West, will start in five minutes. Every other race has been completed and added into our latest projection, which can be found here:

1. Wisconsin
2. Butler
3. Princeton
4. Villanova
5. Oklahoma State
6. Iowa State
7. Northern Arizona
8. BYU
9. Iona
10. Harvard
11. Tennessee
12. Florida State
13. Texas
14. Arkansas
15. North Carolina
16. Eastern Kentucky
17. CBU
18. Stanford
19. Syracuse
20. Notre Dame
21. NC State
22. Wake Forest
23. Virginia
24. Michigan
25. New Mexico
26. Air Force
27. Montana State
28. Colorado
29. Georgetown
30. Washington
31. Michigan State

Here's the output for the final at-large spot on the women's side from Bo's program. Oregon State had 14 points -- an enormous number -- but because they finished so far down the field at the West Regional (9th), they were blocked by a bunch of teams without points and won't be going to NCAAs.

Teams under consideration by points:
  4  Harvard
  1  Michigan, New Mexico, Penn, Wake Forest
  0  LSU, Gonzaga, Georgia Tech, Northwestern
  Others with points: Oregon State (14), North Carolina (3), UCLA (2), Duke (2), Portland (2), Columbia (1), Boston University (1), Connecticut (1), SMU (1), Ohio State (1)

31: Harvard (#4 Northeast) is selected, has losses to (Nuttycombe Invite) Oregon State; 

Stanford has topped Oregon at the West regional which means all nine regionals are complete.

The real drama out West came farther down the results. Oregon State women were projected to finish 4th in the region and qualify at-large. But OSU had an awful day and finished 9th. That opened up an extra at-large spot, which goes to...Harvard.

That means there were two differences from our pre-regional projections. One is that Boston College surprisingly auto-qualified in the Northeast. That meant Harvard needed an at-large spot, and they took the one that would have gone to Oregon State. The other surprise was Texas A&M taking 2nd in the South Central instead of Tulane. That means the Aggie women are going dancing for the first time in 23 years.

Full field below. Remember, these are unofficial projections based on Bo Waggoner's computer program -- which has traditionally been very accurate:

1. Notre Dame
2. Wisconsin
3. Georgetown
4. Penn State
5. Oklahoma State
6. Iowa State
7. Northern Arizona
8. BYU
9. Syracuse
10. Boston College
11. Tennessee
12. Florida
13. Arkansas
14. Texas A&M
15. NC State
16. Furman
17. Stanford
18. Oregon
19. Washington
20. Michigan State
21. Virginia
22. CBU
23. Ole Miss
24. Alabama
25. Lipscomb
26. Utah
27. Colorado
28. Utah Valley
29. Colorado St.
30. Providence
31. Harvard

Notre Dame women win the Great Lakes and Georgetown wins the Mid-Atlantic with Wisconsin and Penn State grabbing the other auto spots in those regions. Here's how the projected qualifiers look with only the West to go...

1. Notre Dame
2. Wisconsin
3. Georgetown
4. Penn State
5. Oklahoma State
6. Iowa State
7. Northern Arizona
8. BYU
9. Syracuse
10. Boston College
11. Tennessee
12. Florida
13. Arkansas
14. Texas A&M
15. NC State
16. Furman
17. Stanford
18. Washington
19. Michigan State
20. Virginia
21. Oregon
22. Oregon State
23. CBU
24. Ole Miss
25. Alabama
26. Lipscomb
27. Utah
28. Colorado
29. Utah Valley
30. Colorado St.
31. Providence

NAU men rolled in the Mountain region, scoring 36 to BYU's 89. In the Southeast, UNC dominated wirh 38 ahead of Eastern Kentucky. And in the Northeast, Iona got the surprise win with Harvard 2nd and Syracuse 3rd. Here's how the projected qualifiers shake out after the South, Southeast, Northeast, and Mountain results:

1. Wisconsin
2. Butler
3. Villanova
4. Princeton
5. Oklahoma State
6. Iowa State
7. Northern Arizona
8. BYU
9. Iona
10. Harvard
11. Tennessee
12. Florida State
13. Arkansas
14. Texas
15. North Carolina
16. Eastern Kentucky
17. CBU
18. Stanford
19. Syracuse
20. Notre Dame
21. NC State
22. Wake Forest
23. Virginia
24. Michigan
25. New Mexico
26. Air Force
27. Montana State
28. Colorado
29. Georgetown
30. Washington
31. Michigan State

We just finished the Midwest (OK State and Iowa State) and South Central (Arkansas and Texas A&M) races. There was a little surprise with Texas A&M beating out Tulane for the second auto spot in the South Central but no changes to the at-large teams selected. The NCAA picture is taking shape...

Notre Dame

Michigan State

Georgetown

Penn State

Oklahoma State

Iowa State

Northern Arizona

BYU

Syracuse

Boston College

Tennessee

Florida

Arkansas

Texas A&M

NC State

Furman

Stanford

Washington

Virginia

Oregon

Oregon State

CBU

Ole Miss

Alabama

Lipscomb

Wisconsin

Utah

Colorado

Utah Valley

Colorado St.

Providence

Here's the women's field after the results of the South, Southeast, Mountain, and Northeast.

There's only one significant change from the pre-regional projections. Originally, Harvard was projected to qualify in 2nd and Boston College was expected to take 4th. Those two flipped in the results, which means BC now gets in automatically and Harvard is projected to be out of the meet entirely. Providence (3rd Northeast) still gets in as an at-large but they're closer to the bubble as they are currently the last team in.

Notre Dame

Michigan State

Georgetown

Penn State

Oklahoma State

Iowa State

Northern Arizona

BYU

Syracuse

Boston College

Tennessee

Florida

Arkansas

Tulane

NC State

Furman

Stanford

Washington

Virginia

Oregon

Oregon State

CBU

Ole Miss

Alabama

Lipscomb

Wisconsin

Utah

Colorado

Utah Valley

Colorado St.

Providence

The good news for the NC State women is that they won the Southeast Regional. The bad news is that Amaris Tyynismaa -- who needs to run well if NC State is to beat NAU at nationals -- DNF'd for the second straight race. At ACCs, she dropped out with 800 to go but today she did not make it as far as she was 10th at 3.5k but did not have a split at 5k. Tyynismaa, the 2020 NCAA XC third-placer, has not finished a race since she was 4th in the NCAA 5k in June.

NC State, who won 52-82 over Furman, didn't race Kelsey Chmiel either.

Results: https://results.flashresults.c...

First major upset of the day as Boston College finishes 2nd in the women's race at the Northeast Regional while Heps champions Harvard are only 4th. How will that affect the projections? Stay tuned, we'll be back in a few minutes...

Results: https://lexicontiming.com/meet...

As expected, the NAU and BYU women went 1-2 to easily advance out of the Mountain Regional.

What's most impressive is that NAU scored just 39 points despite not running three of their top runners -- Elise Stearns, Annika Reiss, and Keira Moore, all of whom were in their top 5 at Nuttycombe. The Lumberjacks' incredible season rolls on and they'll head to NCAAs as the favorites.

Results: https://live.pttiming.com/xc-p...

No major changes from the original projections other than the order in which teams get in. Tennessee and Florida women both get auto spots while Ole Miss, Alabama, and Lipscomb are all set to earn at-large spots. Five teams from the South? When's the last time that happened?

Notre Dame

Michigan State

Georgetown

Penn State

Oklahoma State

Iowa State

Northern Arizona

BYU

Harvard

Syracuse

Tennessee

Florida

Arkansas

Tulane

NC State

Virginia

Stanford

Washington

Ole Miss

Alabama

Lipscomb

Wisconsin

Furman

Colorado

Utah

Providence

Oregon

Oregon State

CBU

Utah Valley

Colorado St.

Here are the 31 projected men's qualifiers after the South region men (teams that have officially qualified in bold). The South results didn't shake things up much. The regional rankings had Tennessee and Alabama getting auto spots and Florida State getting an at-large bid. Now it's Tennessee and Florida State getting auto spots and Alabama at-large.

Wisconsin

Butler

Villanova

Princeton

Oklahoma State

Iowa State

Northern Arizona

BYU

Syracuse

Harvard

Tennessee

Florida State

Arkansas

Texas

North Carolina

Furman

CBU

Stanford

Notre Dame

Virginia

Wake Forest

Eastern Kentucky

Michigan

New Mexico

Colorado

Air Force

Iona

Alabama

Georgetown

Washington

Michigan State

The first regional of the day has concluded with Tennessee sweeping the men's and women's races at the South Regional. In the men's race, Tennessee beat Florida State, 68-71, while on the women's side, Tennessee beat Florida, 61-79. Those are your first four teams to qualify for NCAAs.

Individually, Florida's Parker Valby won the women's race in 17:59.6 on what was clearly not a full 6k course. Alabama's Hillary Cheruiyot won the men's race in 28:26.8.

Full results: https://live.pttiming.com/xc-p...