Drama Galore Expected At Sunday's BAA Half Marathon - Who Will Walk Away With $100,000?

Kim Smith Should Win Big Payday on Women's Side But Men's Side Is Hard To Handicap

By LetsRun.com
October 6, 2012

There will be a lot of drama on Sunday at the BAA Half-Marathon as $200,000 will be on the line.

This year the BAA decided to offer $100,000 to the person with the fastest overall cumulative time at its 5k, 10k and half-marathon road races. The final race - the half-marathon - is Sunday.

On the women's side, Kim Smith leads Ethiopia's Aheza Kiros by 16 seconds. Since Smith has a half-marathon PR that is nearly 2 minutes better than Kiros and a marathon PR that is 8 minutes better, the $100,000 is clearly Smith's for the taking. Barring a total choke job or injury, she should get the win.

Runner # Seconds Behind 5k PB 10k PB Half PB Marathon PB
Kim Smith 0 14:39 30:35 67:11 2:25:21
Aheza Kiros -16 14:56 31:06 69:10 2:33:21

The men's side is where the drama will be as four men are within five seconds of each other as shown by the following chart?

Men # Seconds Behind 5k PB 10k PB Half PB Marathon PB
Sam Chelanga 0 13:09 27:08 61:19 NA
Ali Abdosh 0 (tied) 12:56 27:04 64:26 NA
Allan Kiprono -4 13:48 27:42 62:21 NA
Lani Rutto -5 13:46 28:35 NA NA

Who has the edge?

The interesting thing about the race is that the half-marathon is a longer distance than what all the men are used to running as non of them has ever run a marathon and they all have limited half experience.

As Abdosh told Barbara Huebner for a NYRR story, "Half marathon like for me is full marathon. Itís very long and very hard."

Based on 10,000 and half-marathon PRs, the edge belongs to Chelanga.

But based on recent results, the edge in our minds belongs to Allan Kiprono. The 22-year old, who won Bloomsday earlier this year,convincingly beat two of the other contenders at Falmouth on August 12th.

Falmouth - August 12th
Allan Kiprono 32:32
Sam Chelanga 33:08
Lani Rutto 33:09

That win over Chelanga wasn't a fluke as Kiprono crushed him the week before at Beaach To Beacon.

Beach to Beacon - August 4th
Allan Kiprono 28:22
Sam Chelanga 29:24

But based on the BAA 10k, the one to beat is Abdosh as he beat the other three there.

BAA 10k - June 24
Ali Abdosh 28:21
Allan Kiprono 28:37
Sam Chelanga 28:38
Lani Rutto 28:40

The question for Abdosh is, "How will he hold up for 13.1 miles?"

More: Article on race by Barbara Huebner for the NYRR: Kim Smith Has Eye on $100,000 Prize


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