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feets on the ground
RE: Frank Meza 2:53:10 at LA Marathon (70 years old) unoffical time (just finished)

Researcher wrote:

0-5k: 6:27 /mi 20:02
5-10K: 6:31 /mi 20:17
10-15K: 6:37 /mi 20.33
15-20K: 6:52 /mi 21:21
20-25K 6:27 /mi 20:02
25-30K 6:53 /mi 21:23
30-35K 6:40 /mi 20:44
35-40K 6:22 /mi 19:47

Are you saying these splits are fine? My first instinct was to say they are. But I'm not sure. He hit a bad patch and recovered and picked up the pace, then hit another bad patch but recovered and finished strong? I don't think we can eyeball this and say it's legit. You need someone to plot these splits against a suitable selection of people running around the same time in the same race to see if variability like this is ordinary. Maybe it is. I don't know.

You are right, though, that the logistics of faking these are also incomprehensible. Did Frank run the first 20k, get in some photos, pass off the bib, then get it back again around 30k? That seems unlikely. Did he ride a bike between mats? That seems ludicrous. I honestly have no idea what to think.

Splits Are Fine wrote:

Look closer at the results. The recent splits are fine. It's obvious he didn't cut the course. There's a mat every 5k. How could you cheat that at 6:40 pace and still get on most of the photos? You can't. Even Doubler thinks so. He'll do fine on the track.

Here is the course elevation profile. The fast finish makes sense with the two mile downhill.

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