Ouray Chalet wrote:
I think he'd be under 2:01. He ran 60:32 on the back half of Berlin. If he had 3 pacers through 30k, I think he has a chance at 2:00. Am I completely insane to think this?
Wouldn't today have been like the 7th fastest Berlin performance? Why is Dubai supposedly faster?
Because the Dubai field is always no-names who can't get appearance fees elsewhere, and who never come close to their Dubai PR elsewhere...
Kind of, yeah. But Gebrselassie couldn't break his WR on the Dubai course. And if the depth of competition is so much lower, why wouldn't a guy like Kipsang, E. Mutai, etc. have come and won $200,000 and run 2:02? Plus, the Dubai one-hit-wonders really are one-hit-wonders: it's not like they succeed in Dubai year after year and can't run fast anywhere else.
It's always been confusing to me. Why are there so many 2:04 randos in Dubai? You could argue that a Dubai 2:04 is realyl a Berlin 2:05, but that just doesn't seem to be the case. Or it could be that Dubai is the place where lots of super-talented guys tend to debut, and subsequently burn out.
What I don't know is why is that limited to Dubai? If a guy comes out of nowhere somewhere else, you'd expect him to last for a year or two. But in Dubai, you often never hear of them again.
What is the drug testing like at that race?