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RE: Can I run a sub 3 hour marathon?
how does 6:45-6:50 pace feel? if it feels utterly sustainable and/or you can hit and hold that pace at the end of long runs, you have a good shot at sub-3 if the weather is good

FWIW i ran multiple sub-3's in my 40's when i never ran faster than 1:27 for a half

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