Every thing points to at least 2:07; I don't know how anyone thinks Rupp won't be competitive. Perhaps he'll never be great by world standards, but he's already pretty darn good already unless you think a 26:44 10K, 2 Olympic medals, multiple USA Marathon Championships and a WMM 2nd place was all a fluke. He now has a shot at running a fast time, I can't see why anyone would count him out.
You wanna bet he WON'T best coach Al Sal's 2:08:54 (since the 2:08:13 at NYC was SHORT)
Nothing on his recent performances points out to a 2:07. His 10k 26:44 are inconsequential since after that the fastest he has run is for the marathon is 2:09:59, and has struggled at the end. The kid is talented, YES, but that's pretty much about it. The Kenyans don't give a rats tail about him.