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RE: Breaking: Nike admits that its sub-2 hr attempt won't come on a legitimate course and won't count for a WR
I hate Nike as much as the next guy, but I think there's something interesting to the premise.
Let's assume the following (all big assumptions, I know):
The course will be flat as a pancake (not downhill).
The course will finish where it began or generally close to the same point (a circuit).
The runner will be paced by a bicycle that does not shield him from the wind (he won't be drafting an electric car or anything like that, and the bicycle should be next to the runner or at least several meters ahead of him at all times).
The athlete will make himself subject to normal drug testing procedures.
Given all of that, how much money would you bet on the outcome and would you take the over or the under on a 2:00 finish time?
Even in that fairly ideal scenario, I would bet $100 on the over.
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