If Davis fields a team at nationals this year, they will win. Their #1 Nathan Kwan just ran 23:55 for 8k at the capital cross challenge in Sacramento. They also had another 3-4 guys break 26:00 in the same race. Team average was something like 25low
I just analyzed those results, and that course ran very fast. Kwan's race is still the top performance this year in NIRCA, and UC Davis is a strong favorite already. If they race Bronco, it will give a lot more information, when I can compare their times with a known course, and against Stanford's and likely Cal Poly's runners. I expect Oregon to give them a good race at Regionals, and Penn State on their "home course" at Nationals will be tough to defeat as well. Michigan still has not ran several of their supposed returning runners.