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RE: Since Murphy > Centro: How much would Murphy have won the 1500 by?
I find it extremely unlikely Murphy would have contended for a medal in the 1500m final, in part since he probably wouldn't have positioned himself/been able to run the 49.xx or 50-low final lap that it would have taken unless he'd run near the front, and he just isn't at the level at 1500m as guys like Willis (who basically employed the strategy Murphy would have needed to medal).
But the fact he hasn't reached his potential should be taken as a compliment; if anyone breaks Rudisha's 800m WR or pulls off an unthinkable double for 800/1500 in 2020 or 2024, my money's on Murphy (maybe the youngest Ingebrigtsen or the next Kenyan sensation could as well). He's very green in terms of development and racing experience, yet he got an Olympic bronze in the 800m running 1:42. He's shown to have 400m speed better than pretty much all the top 1500m guys, he's extremely smart tactically, and his endurance/strength is developing remarkably. To see how he progresses over the next 1-2 years will be very telling in terms of his potential; but unlike Solomon or Symmonds, I doubt this Olympics 800m performance will remain his PR.
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