Ultra list update wrote:
Iâ€™ve been passing on forecasts to Laz for a few days, here is my latest:
Since entering MO, averaging 46.76mpd. Using midnight to midnight ET as my â€œdayâ€.
12-Jun 30.2 current, 41.78 forecasted.
Currently still at Innkeeper Motel according to tracker. Needs to average ~56.41mpd to arrive at Times Square and shave a minute off of record assuming ~210 miles to Indy and ~936mi to Times Square.
ST miles days mpd
CA 272.0 4.58 59.35
NV 20.3 0.46 44.29
AZ 404.0 6.07 66.53
NM 170.0 2.22 76.62
CO 306.0 4.01 76.27
KS 426.0 6.11 69.75
MO 295.1 6.31 46.76
Overall 1,893.4 29.76 63.62
6 day average across each state:
First, a huge applause to the Ultra Listers for getting out there to investigate.
I think the case is already closed against him, but those mileage totals by state look extremely suspect. According to his route, he crossed the Rockies in NM and went to huge elevation in AZ as well. My instinct (which could be way off) is that he'd be slowest in those states due to the climbing and elevation, even if he was fresh and wasn't battling humidity. Maybe someone on the Ultra list can chime in? In particular, in NM he had his best totals running almost entirely in the Rockies. In AZ he had to climb almost 7000 ft in 180 miles to get to flagstaff.
Using the following link, I looked up some elevations on his route:
AZ/NM border: 500 ft
Flagstaff, AZ: 6900 ft
NM/AZ border: 5550 ft
NM/CO border: 9500 ft
Maybe someone with the detailed GPS data can fill in pace with approximate elevations/climbs to see if he's cranking out marathon pr's up in the mountains.