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coach d
RE: Down goes the Dow
No, Maserati, the Job Openings DATA is not a smokescreen. What is not valid is the media interpretation of that data:




Series Id: JTS10000000JOR
Seasonally adjusted
Industry: Total private
Region: Total US
Data Element: Job openings
Rate/Level: Rate

Download:
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2006 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3
2007 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.1
2008 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.2
2009 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.9
2010 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.2
2011 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.7
2012 2.9 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.7
2013 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9
2014 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.4 3.7 3.5 3.5
2015 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8
2016 4.1 4.1 4.1(P)
P : preliminary



I see for private employers clear indication that conditions weakened in 4Q15, and data simply returned to where they were. Beware of not seasonally adjusted data. This is why I only want to see the data, not "expert opinions."

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