Barry Harwick wrote (in the alumni newsletter):
We had one runner fall, another fall over him, and still another lose a shoe; all before the mile mark.
The splits from the race show a very slow pace through 5k, so starting in the back must have made it very difficult for the Big Green to move up. The course is very narrow for a field with 25-30 competitive teams, so I would not regard their loss to Columbia as particularly telling. I actually think Dartmouth, Princeton, and Columbia are on quite equal footing going into this one and the deepest team will win.
Even if Awad and Tuck run well I just don't see Penn having the depth to contend. Harvard and Yale are similar.