not david epstein wrote:
I'll get the ball rolling.
2:10:24 is my pick.
Nah. Luke'll run 2:08-low or better at some point.
He's still very young, and didn't train very hard in the last year.
Still trying to figure out how to train most effectively, and maybe that'll lead to some more experimentation, and some major ups and downs, but it's very likely he'll eventually run a lot faster than this, as long as he can stay healthy.
I wouldn't be shocked if it took a while, and he had some bad races in-between --or even if he went backwards at Trials-- but sooner or later, he'll go way under 2:10.
This race wasn't a fluke; it was just the first time things clicked for him in a marathon. It'll happen again, and he'll be in a lot better shape when it does.
I wish him luck. I'd love to see it.