father time wrote:
what will happen first?
coburn sub 9 or jager sub 8?
seems more likely jager breaks 8min first, for many reasons.
there've been like 11 or 12 guys to break 8min, but only one woman to break 9min. 8:00 for guys is kinda like 9:10 for women.
looking at the all-time lists, 9:10 has been broken 20 times by 10 different women.
8:00 has been broken 36 times by 12 different people.
considering that the men's steeple has much more top-end depth than womens (for now), i'd say that 9:10 is about equal to 8:00
if you look at the iaaf points table, 8:00.11 = 1258 pts and 9:10.10 = 1219 pts. the womens equivalent to 8:00.1 is 8:54.8 according to this table, which seems pretty far off.