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reed
RE: Will Emma Coburn follow suit in Lausanne with an AR?

father time wrote:

what will happen first?

coburn sub 9 or jager sub 8?


seems more likely jager breaks 8min first, for many reasons.

there've been like 11 or 12 guys to break 8min, but only one woman to break 9min. 8:00 for guys is kinda like 9:10 for women.

looking at the all-time lists, 9:10 has been broken 20 times by 10 different women.
8:00 has been broken 36 times by 12 different people.

considering that the men's steeple has much more top-end depth than womens (for now), i'd say that 9:10 is about equal to 8:00

if you look at the iaaf points table, 8:00.11 = 1258 pts and 9:10.10 = 1219 pts. the womens equivalent to 8:00.1 is 8:54.8 according to this table, which seems pretty far off.

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