coach d wrote:
The 5000 she ran last year was 9 seconds faster than what she ran in 2009 when she ran 3:59.9. Theoretically, that is worth 3:56-3:57 if you can combine the improved endurance with the speed she showed in 2009--and combining those is Wetmore's challenge.
an improvement in her 5000m PR only means she can run 5000m faster. it doesn't mean she can run faster at 1500m.
however, you still might be right. you're logic just wasn't.
personally i think she could run 3:58-3:59 in shanghai with good conditions, decent pacing, and 1 or 2 ladies to run with.
if they go out in 63-66 they're still close enough. the third lap just can't slack once pacers drop out, assuming they even run to 800m.