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RE: Book it now: Ryan Vail will be 2016 US Olympic marathoner - 2:10 pb today - just 1 spot behind Mo Farah in London
Actually a disappointing performance from Vail. He did nothing to confirm himself as a favorite. I don't think he put any fear in Ritz, a 40-year old Meb, Hall, and even guys like Cabada and Arciniaga, or any of the young up-and-comers.

If Vail would have run 2:10 at NYC or Boston, reminiscent of Brian Sell, then he would have my attention. But 2:10 at London is blah to the elite US marathoning community. It's a strong performance, no doubt, but Vail's ROI in concerning. Can he keep up this training for another 2 years?

As a matter of fact, Meb is looking the most like a sure bet. Here would be my list, but this could change drastically after Boston, which has a large contingent of Americans lining up. And I still think there is an 80% chance that Galen Rupp debuts in LA 2016 -

Dathan Ritzenhein
Meb Keflezighi
Ryan Vail

Fernando Cabada
Nick Arciniaga
Bobby Curtis
Josphat Boit
Christo Landry

Ryan Hall
Matt Tegenkamp

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