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Here is the way it is
RE: Men's 5000 Official Thread

powerof3 wrote:

The semifinals for the 5000 will be starting here in about an hour and a half. How does everybody think they'll play out? If the USA can get 3 guys to the final it would be a miracle, but Lagat should make it and Rupp ha an 80% chance I would say.

Barring injury or a fall Rupp has a 99% chance. Including the probability of aforementioned unfortunate event leaves his chances at precisely 93.76%

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