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RE: Dixon, JOHN Dixon
This goes to HRE too; seriously, we hardly tapped into tactics and, Kim, you actually brought an interesting point. In the original Run to the Top book, there's a picture of Baillie beating Snell in XC race. Lydiard said that the race was run on a hard surface and Bill, who was a driver (as Arthur described), had an advantage. Particularly in XC races, there's a lot of "other" factors involved in winning and losing of the race. This is what Lydiard meant by saying "consider your streangths and weaknesses". I really honestly thought Noguchi would win Athens Olympic marathon (Jonas, remember I called you the day before the race?). It is because of the course, type of training she was doing, how others would mostly likely run, etc. In fact, I also thought Deena had a chance to win a medal as well.
One of the things about Lydiard was his almost "cold" calculating view on performance. It's not a matter of how fast or how slow you've run. You have to consider your training, temperament (as Lorraine said about Ann Audain or Allison Roe), tactics others employ, type of surface (road, track, XC, etc) and the course (hilly, flat, water jump???), weather and all that. You can never be sure and you can never write anybody off. As Lydiard always said, 1964 Tokyo 1500 final and 1974 Commonwealth Games 10000m final are two races everything went as Lydiard predicted. He predicted because of his runners' strengths and weaknesses, others' training and strengths and weaknesses, temperament of competitors, etc. As an athlete and as a coach, you'd have to consider all these factors. And this is perhaps most fun part...
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