Hopefully Schweizer or Jones, but in all honesty probably Kurgat. I think the 5 year age difference might be too much to overcome.
Wait, Kurgat is 26? Wtf? Is she studying for a PhD?
I still take Schweizer, because the 6k at NCAA champs is never an all out race. It always seems to come down to a finishers kick at the end, and Schweizer is quite good at that.
Now if Kurgat or somebody else makes an early move and can hold it, that changes things.