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It's never for sure. He could get a stress fracture in February and miss eight weeks of running. That being said, I think he can do it, for sure, but part of me hopes that he doesn't run THAT fast. Part of what enabled Webb to run 3:53 was hammering insane interval workouts. That's not the best thing for long-term development. I'd rather Fisher runs 4:02-3:58 this year and goes on to run well in college than have him run 3:55 and burn up. When you go down the list of top HS mile times, several of the really fast guys in the last 20 years struggled mightily in college.