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In response to:
Let's be logical here, starting with the 13:36 "time."

Rainy throughout, including puddles -> 13:26
Uneven gusting winds, especially on laps 7-10 = 13:20
Improperly paced to 2k -> 13:10
Early season-factor -> 13:05

There you have it. He's good for a 13:02 come August.
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