KudzuRunner wrote:
joedirt wrote:
Cuomo and his incessant whining was intolerable. Begging for 30,000-40,000 ventilators and then using 5,000. And he isn't the only one. A lot of these governors were lining up asking for ten times what they realistically needed.
Cuomo, like pretty much everybody forced to plan for the pandemic's effect, used the best available modeling, which is provided by an institute at the University of Washington. I'm sure you're familiar with it, since you talk with such assurance about what was "realistically needed." They're currently projecting 68,000 COVID deaths by August 1.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-americaThe truth is, flattening the curve worked. Mitigation worked. It killed the economy, but it worked.
If Trump hadn't wasted weeks, of course, we would have a reasonably good economy now and far fewer deaths.
I hate to keep pointing this out because the IMHE is probably trying to do the best they can with limited data, but they have some silly assumptions built in and are grossly underestimating the actual numbers. They were initially projecting based on the Wuhan/South Korea data which is no where near the experience of the rest of the world. Even as they incorporated Italy data, they really only had info up to the peak and the run out period is a lot longer than they project from peak cases.
US will probably have their highest number of deaths so far today, and I'm not confident we are close to our peak despite the IMHE models showing 'peak' 4 days ago.