Sorry for new thread - impossible to know if this has been touched on somewhere else already - if it is has, apologies
Latest update from Dr Fauci - if you follow this you've probably seen it.
What this means overall:
Lets assume we even add 25% onto that number as a buffer so add another 50k to give us 250'000 deaths. Let's take a really high death rate of 7% (ie. 7% chance of death if you are infected) - this is extremely high given that globally we have 4.6% and we have to factor that there was a lot of early and rampant transmission to vulnerable people early on that is being curbed by social distancing etc. Globally only Span, Italy and Iran exceed this number.
Under the guidance of Dr Fauci and using some really worst case scenarios of 7% death rate we would expect the upper number of Americans to be infected at around 3.5 million.
3.5 million is approx 1% of the population of the US
If hospitalization is 15% which again is extraordinarily high (this is even far less than Italy's number) this points to 530'000 people needing hospitalization over the duration of the pandemic.
Anybody disagree? Not my number (deaths) where these numbers emanate from. Also I think the worst case scenarios of +25% to expected death number, 7% death rate and 15% hospitalization rate are most definitely on the extreme side. All good?
Last week jobless claims clocked in at a record 3.3 million - up 2.6 miilion from the previous record in 1982
Numerous reports have ultimate unemployment topping out somewhere between 8 and 14 million. By the summer.....
Enjoy your weekends.