German Professor of Medicine Sucharit Bhakdi lays out Coronavirus hysteria in simple terms

Umm,,, where is the so-called "curve" that we are supposed to flatten by sitting on our fat arses and watching the death ticker light up. An obese person or "35-year-old with no pre-existing conditions just passed from COVID! He was a baseball coach, a pastor at his church, a family man that said hello to his neighbors!" He also loved fried food and was a closet smoker.

Nevermind all the other people that that died tragically today only the faux COVID guy gets the spotlight. Nobody else matters. Nobody.

U.S. Coronavirus deaths nearly quadrupled in a week, from 2583 to 9616 and today there have been an additional 1100 deaths already, bringing us over 10700.

zxcvzcxv wrote:

He states that the worst case scenario has 30 Germans per day dying from Coronavirus. Yesterday, 52 Germans died from it, and 403 total have died. The numbers are rising steeply as the disease progresses in those with a serious case. Next week, the # of Germans dead from it is highly likely to be over 1,000. It rose yesterday at a rate of 20% in a day. I put the dead in 7 days in Germany at 1,444, an increase of over 1,000 in a week, where I start with 403 dead and assume that 20% rise in deaths per day. It may still be greater as the # of cases has risen dramatically , more of those cases will be in the critical stage, and Germany in some places may well see a scarcity of ventilators.

Now, the death toll in Germany as of April 6 is at 1,735.

It was at 433 as of the end of March 28. That is a 300% increase (the total has quadrupled) in 9 days.

7 days out from my prediction, the death toll in Germany was 1,444, exactly what I predicted.

In the past few minutes, the German total went up to 1776 with 192 deaths today. Daily new cases have been all over the map, so potentially falling with 4 days of falling cases, but it is too unstable to tell what's going on here. Deaths had stabilized or fallen for those days but today there are a lot more, so I'm just going to hazard a guess that they will be roughly 1500 in the next week on the notion that they haven't found a good treatment yet and that the vastly higher # of cases they're dealing with are going to produce a higher average death toll. The odds are that even if this guy had been predicting 30/day for 100 days=3,000 total, Germany will already surpass that next week, with almost all of them since March 19.

If it quadruples 10 more times, there will be nobody left alive in the US. I guess the greenies win even though they won't be here to see it.

Germany's at 1983 deaths now, just short of 2,000, and increasing at 226 yesterday and 173 so far today. Good prediction, OP. Germany'll be at 3,000 within 5 days in all likelihood.

Like the last poster said, the original prediction sure looks like the load of crap we expected from the beginning.

Germany suffered its greatest number of deaths in a single day today with 333 deaths. The total deaths to date due to the virus is 2,349 deaths, and very much narrowing in on the 3,000 mark cited in the apparently deeply flawed article. At this rate, it will surpass in less than 48 hours.

But, hey, don't let reality ruin your jaded views, Jamin.

And that's just Germany. US numbers are worse by comparison.

Hi, Jamin. Now that we are weeks into this pandemic, how's this prediction/model that you so vehemently in support of working out?

Hint: Not well. Not well at all.

Gee, what a surprise!

seattle prattle wrote:

Like the last poster said, the original prediction sure looks like the load of crap we expected from the beginning.

Germany suffered its greatest number of deaths in a single day today with 333 deaths. The total deaths to date due to the virus is 2,349 deaths, and very much narrowing in on the 3,000 mark cited in the apparently deeply flawed article. At this rate, it will surpass in less than 48 hours.

But, hey, don't let reality ruin your jaded views, Jamin.

And that's just Germany. US numbers are worse by comparison.

Keep eating it up. Stay at home and you will live forever

This thread is a disgrace, but then consider the source.

Not agree.. just see the real stats..it will definitely help to get away from misconception.

Here are the actual recent trends in daily new fatalities, up to yesterday, for a variety of countries including US and Germany, reported as fatalities per million population, and smoothed as a 5-day running average:

https://ibb.co/xMg0XdY

Some of these countries have clearly peaked, but still show wobbly noisy trends in the downward part of the curve. US, Canada and Germany have not yet established clear peaks, but could be in the process of peaking (my other analysis suggests that they are).

That'll be $0.02. In USD please

These figures seem to suggest that it wasn’t “coronavirus hysteria?” Jamin was wrong? Lol

Corona is a wimpy wrote:

Wow that was awesome. Really shows how the media is beyond a joke at this point, and how this has been one of the biggest over-reactions in history.

This thread aged well.

Right now we are 165,924 death into the "biggest over reactions in history"

40,575 of them in the US

Media 1 million

Stupid trolls 0

40,000 deaths in the US and counting. Hysterical.

jesseriley wrote:

These figures seem to suggest that it wasn’t “coronavirus hysteria?” Jamin was wrong? Lol

coronavirus is disappearing

40,000 deaths? Yes, jamin, they’ve “disappeared” under ground.

jamin wrote:

jesseriley wrote:

These figures seem to suggest that it wasn’t “coronavirus hysteria?” Jamin was wrong? Lol

coronavirus is disappearing

https://i.ibb.co/CV98nPf/active-cases-de.png

No, it isnt, it is simply that the death rate that has so far produced over 40,000 deaths is being reduced by social distancing. The disease will be with us until there is a vaccine - which may be 12-18 months away. You are as ignorant as you are devoid of empathy.

Armstronglivs: Jamin, is it ignorance or apathy?

Jamin, I don't know and I don't care.