Trump says US Could Re-open in 2 weeks.

zxcvzcxv wrote:

At some point, you've got to listen and learn from the curve and the recent historical experience of other countries.

Very well. Not even Italy -- roundly mocked for 'doing nothing' -- has experienced 4 days in a row of increases, let alone 21. And Italy's an outlier in terms of things going badly.

Renato Corona wrote:

zxcvzcxv wrote:

At some point, you've got to listen and learn from the curve and the recent historical experience of other countries.

Very well. Not even Italy -- roundly mocked for 'doing nothing' -- has experienced 4 days in a row of increases, let alone 21. And Italy's an outlier in terms of things going badly.

Increases in what? If you look at individual days, there might be blips where new cases or deaths increase at a lower rate than the previous day, but the plotted curves of data show a pretty similar pattern across Italy, USA, Spain, Germany, France, UK.

We've seen the curves flatten out in China and S. Korea, and become pretty linear in Iran. It's hard to predict when the curves will go linear for the aforementioned countries.

If Trump is serious about "re-opening" the US in two weeks, he should practice what he preaches by hosting and paying for a buffet dinner at the ballroom at his hotel in DC the evening he makes the announcement. He should invite Pence, the Cabinet, the Republican caucuses in the Senate and House, the Republican governors of all 50 states (and the Lt. Governor of Texas), the five Republican justices on the US Supreme Court, every Fox News host, and Jerry Falwell, Jr., and then fill the remaining seats with the top Republican fundraisers in the country in order until the ballroom is completely packed. They could even make a show of joining hands in prayer for a blessing before the start of dinner. Just imagine the political mileage Trump could get from showing the rest of the country: (1) that the Republicans aren't afraid of the virus like the overreacting Dems are; and (2) how much he cares about the welfare of the employees at his hotels.

+1

If they live stream I’d watch.

THAT sounds like a solid plan.

Exponential growth has checked out so far, day after day. It will continue to apply for some indeterminate number of days on. That might be ten days; it might be 21; and it might be more. The truth is that we may get to a very big number and then slow increases or decreases with no resolution for a long time. You've been burying your head in the sand if you think those numbers are about to stop this rapid increase at the very time when it is much more common to have the virus than it was ten days ago and a large proportion of the population does not yet have it. H1N1 spread to 64 million people. Fortunately, they had a vaccine ready for that Fall 2009 flu season.

We had an increase in new cases for 13 straight days, a slight decline in new cases, and then another 3 straight days of increase, all this month. My numbers are way out of date now. We're at 65,000 cases and 928 deaths now.

Italy: things are bad here, nobody will f this up more than we did...

USA: Hold my beer...