CoronaCurious wrote:
It's now over two weeks since total shut down in Italy and today they had a record number of deaths. I guess the 14 days of self isolation plan the Western World is implementing and pinning all it's hopes on isn't working / going to work.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-51952712What's the next idea?
What really matters is the growth in the number of new infections, and that *looks* (as always, everything in any discussion based on the 'official' stats must be prefaced with the huge disclaimer *IF we can trust the official stats*) like it's dropped quite a bit in the last week.
Like from the 20s to the low teens.
That's still horrible, but it's a big change. We'll have to see what happens in the next week, but if it continues to drop, and drops below 10%, that would probably be the first optimistic sign for us here.
(A sign that *maybe* the same thing will happen here, when we get to that point on the curve --which probably won't happen for at least another week.)
(Of course, if we keep going the way we're going right now, we could have 60,000 cases in another week, and that's probably already enough to start putting some serious strain on the health-care infrastructure.)