As more test kits become available hospitals are finding high numbers of positives including several at a nursing home near Eugene. This damn Coronavirus is not going to be done by June in time to save season and Olympic Trials as health officials will fear travel to events from other areas will lead to a fresh increase.
The delay in actual quarantines like Italy just did is going to cost track an entire season of competition from high school to pro. All major colleges have cancelled til mid-April and again likelihood of starting back then is looking less and less likely.
Olympic Trials and entire track season in danger???
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They're not going to cancel Team Ingebrigstens are they?
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Bye, bye, Track & Field. It was good to know you.
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Moose Hoofing wrote:
They're not going to cancel Team Ingebrigstens are they?
Norway isn’t looking too good right now, that’s for sure -
With the NBA/NCAA cancelled this is our chance! Quick someone organize some made for TV track meets!
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bluecolla wrote:
Moose Hoofing wrote:
They're not going to cancel Team Ingebrigstens are they?
Norway isn’t looking too good right now, that’s for sure
Why do you say that? -
Fake news. No cases in Eugene. Check your facts
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bluecolla wrote:
Moose Hoofing wrote:
They're not going to cancel Team Ingebrigstens are they?
Norway isn’t looking too good right now, that’s for sure
The USA is 100% worst off, you are just not testing enough. Soon it will show. -
Lebanon, just outside Eugene has cases at nursing home. 3 workers at the nursing home live in Eugene. There will be cases soon.
Pre Classic suspended ticket sales tonight due to the virus and I am hearing its 90% likely it will be cancelled because bringing in foreign athletes so soon after the peak of the outbreak is being considered too risky by our health officials. Trials are likely to be cancelled as well if things don’t have a miraculous turn around. -
Imagine all the wasted EPO these athletes took. Risking their long-term health for the Olympics and now it will be cancelled. What a shame.
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Now 6 more positives in Lebanon nursing home so a total of 8 plus the Eugene based employees of the center and this is about to explode into area like the now nearly 30 dead in Seattle area around the nursing home outbreak.
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I'd give the Olympics a <5% chance of actually being held. That's probably being optimistic. The rest of the season is basically shot. Maybe we'll get a few diamond league meets at the end of the summer.
We're going to be in a prolonged period 2-3 months of social distancing and cancelled events. Fans won't be allowed into games or events until June/July if things go well. It is going to throw off races around the world, and forcing people to fly from all over the world to Tokyo is asking for trouble when the virus will still be chugging along. They'll cancel it. There will be a lot of sad instagram posts with deep thoughts about what running means to them and how they'll overcome this latest hurdle God put in front of them for a reason.
I hope they've start making contingency plans to postpone it to 2021. -
I don’t seeing postponing as realistic due to other related events like World Championships in Eugene. Too much to have an Olympic Trials then Olympic Games then World Championships in same year.
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That's easy. Eugene shifts to 2022 and we either skip the off year and go to Budapest in 2023 or skip 2023 because they haven't broken ground on their new stadium. Plus, the new govt. wants to push a referendum to stop Budapest's stadium from being built. They'd probably love to get out from the high cost to build the stadium while they dig out of this recession.
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Is anyone concerned that this is much bigger than just the cancellation of the Olympics and sports events in one year? Suppose this virus keeps mutating and it ushers in a new chapter in human history and a new normal.
No more big international events, or big gatherings of any kind. People stay in their communities and don't travel much. And when we do travel there are a lot of tests and screenings. People work mostly from home and rely more on video technology to communicate. Maybe 3 years from now we will look back on the pre-corona lifestyle and remember how different things were.
Yes, I know this is just speculation but sometimes there are pivotal events that change the course of human history in unforeseen ways. -
Let’s hope your dystopian view fails to come true but its not impossible. I suspect our medical research in the world will lead to a vaccine or cure but other mutations could bring the world you describe.
Oregon K-12 just closed until April at least. I am really thinking the Olympic Trials have less than a 5% chance of taking place. -
It seems like it makes sense to wait until Tokyo makes a decision before deciding to cancel. Tokyo can hold the games anytime in 2020. So if they push them back until October then we can push the trials back.
If they cancel the games the trials won't matter much. We could still have the US champs but they could be held later in the summer. -
Just help us get toilet paper
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No toilet paper in all of Eugene. Stores saying at least a week before more arrives. Stop eating so you can stop pooping.
And they are going to have the Trials here in 90 days? I don't think so. -
lebanoncases wrote:
Let’s hope your dystopian view fails to come true but its not impossible. I suspect our medical research in the world will lead to a vaccine or cure but other mutations could bring the world you describe.
Oregon K-12 just closed until April at least. I am really thinking the Olympic Trials have less than a 5% chance of taking place.
I too wonder if any corona virus vaccine will be any more effective than the yearly flu vaccine if it too undergoes mutations and new strains occur. If it mutates all the numbers could change--ratio of deaths to infections and the basic reproduction number. The 2nd wave of the 1918 Spanish flu killed many more than the first wave and unlike the first wave it killed across all age groups including otherwise healthy 20 year old people.
From February statement at the CDC website regarding the 2019-2020 flu vaccine:
So far this season, flu vaccines are reducing doctor’s visits for flu illness by almost half (45%). This is consistent with estimates of flu vaccine effectiveness (VE) from previous flu seasons that ranged 40%-60% when flu vaccine viruses were similar to circulating influenza viruses.
