Bad Wigins wrote:
There are more than 6,000 hospitals in the US, and only 1040 confirmed cases of COVID-19. Even in the unlikely event that the case load increases by a consistent 5% per day, there will still be only 2600 cases 20 days from now. The hospitals would have to flip a coin to see who gets one.
Already at more than 7000% of your "unlikely" conservative prediction
WWRD wrote:
This will not age well:
self isolate now wrote:
No, at this rate (30% increase per day in cases, 50% per day in deaths) the numbers will look like this:
Daily NEW cases in the US (if current tend continues)
March 26: 17,361
March 27: 22,570
March 28: 29,341
March 29: 38,143
March 30: 49,586
...
April 2: 108,941
...
April 7: 404,490
...
April 11: 1,155,263
Daily NEW deaths (if current trend continues):
March 26: 370
March 27: 556
March 28: 834
March 29: 1,250
March 30: 1,876
March 31: 2,813
April 1: 4,220
April 2: 6,330
April 3: 9,495
April 4: 14,243
April 5: 21,365
April 6: 32,047
April 7: 48,071
April 8: 72,107
April 9: 108,160
As predicted, this did not age well. April 3 deaths about 900 (versus 9,495), new cases 32k vs about 150k. Self isolating, please quit posting, you are part of the problem.
LOL!
douglas burke wrote:
On the Article about French Migrants, the way it is written it sounds like in France Diversity is NOT a Strength, As Someone who has lived in The USA my whole life I cannot Understand this, Because in The USA Diversity is Our Greatest Strength, Why is it different in France?
Does Bossert still have a job?
Bad Wigins! 2600 cases lol!
jesseriley wrote:
Bad Wigins! 2600 cases lol!
Ten days to collapse predicted five plus weeks ago.
How did that prediction work out?
If you read Bad's reasoning on the growth rate, you might understand he was not that far from reality.
At a daily growth rate of 5% for NEW CASES, that would be about 2600 cases ON DAY 20. Not a total of 2600 cases.
Actually with 1040 cases on day 1, there would be 2628 cases on day 20, and there would be a TOTAL of 34,388 cases after 20 days. I don't know how that compared to actual cases, but probably a lot closer than the wild projections being made.
So you can stop gloating about "2600 cases", and go brush up on your math.
jesseriley wrote:
Bad Wigins! 2600 cases lol!
What are you? Nine years old?
Why are you not posting like this to all of those that predicted massive death totals?
Bad Wigins wrote:
There are more than 6,000 hospitals in the US, and only 1040 confirmed cases of COVID-19. Even in the unlikely event that the case load increases by a consistent 5% per day, there will still be only 2600 cases 20 days from now.
LMFAO
Any more predictions, tough guy?
(There were almost 75 times as many cases as you predicted on 3/31)
Your posts are hereby invalid for all time. Go away.
Math Fail wrote:
If you read Bad's reasoning on the growth rate, you might understand he was not that far from reality.
At a daily growth rate of 5% for NEW CASES, that would be about 2600 cases ON DAY 20. Not a total of 2600 cases.
Actually with 1040 cases on day 1, there would be 2628 cases on day 20, and there would be a TOTAL of 34,388 cases after 20 days. I don't know how that compared to actual cases, but probably a lot closer than the wild projections being made.
So you can stop gloating about "2600 cases", and go brush up on your math.
Nah, he meant 2600 cases TOTAL, which you can tell because he says there are over 5k hospitals in the USA, so they'd still have to flip a coin to see who got a patient, not that there would 2.6k new cases on that day. He also predicted in another thread 800 deaths total worldwide for the year.
Greg, go away wrote:
Does Bossert still have a job?
Is the U.S. fully opened? Has COV disappeared? Is the DOW back near 30,000?
Giles Corey wrote:
jesseriley wrote:
Bad Wigins! 2600 cases lol!
Ten days to collapse predicted five plus weeks ago.
How did that prediction work out?
Pssst, the US is closed.
Help me to understand wrote:
jesseriley wrote:
Bad Wigins! 2600 cases lol!
What are you? Nine years old?
Why are you not posting like this to all of those that predicted massive death totals?
Jesse was hoping for mayhem. He was hyping the millions-of-deaths hysteria and now is trying to deflect.
It’s like the Dems accusing Trump of racism when he stopped travel from China, but now they accuse him of acting too slowly.
It's especially ironic the thing they pick to deflect with is from more than a month ago, and was a projection, not a prediction.
Bad Wigins wrote:
It's especially ironic the thing they pick to deflect with is from more than a month ago, and was a projection, not a prediction.
I believe you phrased it: "Even in unlikely event..."
Sounds like a prediction to me.
Bump
RIP: D3 All-American Frank Csorba - who ran 13:56 in March - dead
RENATO can you talk about the preparation of Emile Cairess 2:06
Running for Bowerman Track Club used to be cool now its embarrassing
Hats off to my dad. He just ran a 1:42 Half Marathon and turns 75 in 2 months!
Great interview with Steve Cram - says Jakob has no chance of WRs this year