ebolaSuzanne wrote:
If she runs a 1500 or 5 k, she'd have to find her own pace. So far she's been able to sit and use her strength. The distance and quality in those other events will stretch her capabilities more if it becomes a race. If they jerk the pace around in a 5k, she'll be at a disadvantage.
Yep. Semenya would have to get into 14:35 shape to have a shot at a medal (and not even a good shot). Every single woman who has won a medal at 5000m at the world championships in the last 17 years has achieved a PR of 14:35 or faster during their career (14 women). So 14:35 seems to be a bit of a magical number in terms of being competitive at 5k on the world stage.
Here is every olympic and world championship medalist at 5k sorted by PR
Tirunesh Dibaba - 14:11 (gold 2003, gold 2005, bronze 2012 olympics, gold 2008 olympics, bronze 2004 olympics)
Almaz Ayana - 14:12 (gold 2015, silver 2017, bronze 2016 olympics)
Meseret Defar - 14:12 (gold 2013, bronze 2011, gold 2009, gold 2007, silver 2005, gold 2012 olympics, bronze 2008 olympics, gold 2004 olympics)
Genzebe Dibaba - 14:15 (bronze 2015)
Hellen Obiri - 14:18 (gold 2019, gold 2017, silver 2016 olympics)
Vivian Cheruiyot - 14:20 (gold 2011, gold 2009, silver 2007, gold 2016 olympics, silver 2012 olympics)
Sifan Hassan - 14:22 (bronze 2017)
Senbere Teferi - 14:23 (silver 2015)
Elvan Abeylegesse - 14:24 (silver 2008 olympics)
Margaret Chelimo Kipkemboi -14:27 (silver 2019)
Konstanze Klosterhalfen 14:26 (bronze 2019)
Sylvia Jebiwott Kibet -14:31 (silver 2011, silver 2009)
Ejegayehu Dibaba - 14:32 (bronze 2005)
Mercy Cherono - 14:33 (silver 2013)
Priscah Jepleting Cherono - 14:35 (bronze - 2007)
Isabella Ochichi - 14:38 (silver 2004 Olympics)