What are the odds Boston and/or London marathons get cancelled?

The BAA has the below on the website.

The Boston Athletic Association works in close coordination with city and state officials to ensure a safe and successful Boston Marathon. The B.A.A. is carefully monitoring developments related to coronavirus (COVID-19) and the 2020 Boston Marathon is proceeding as planned. We will continue working with city and state officials, and we will closely follow updates from organizations such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Department of Public Health, and World Health Organization. The B.A.A. will adhere to policies put forth by the federal, state, and local governments.

The B.A.A. will continue to monitor the situation closely. We encourage everyone to familiarize themselves with the World Health Organization’s suggested safety precautions including regular hand washing, covering mouth and nose when coughing and sneezing, and avoiding close contact with anyone showing signs of illness.

Paris has already gone. Just a matter of time before London and Boston get called off

I'm wondering how you arrived at a couple of things:

Highest trusted society in history?

Education is better?

Crime is lower (maybe so...)?

More unity and social cohesion?

It looks like the BAA is going to let the CDC make the call. When the CDC makes the call to cancel, the BAA will say it is out of their soap and water cleaned hands and they can not do anything about it.

I hope the CDC makes the right call based on their data and knowledge about the spread of the virus.

Uhhh that's pretty incorrect.... We also have larger rural populations that are difficult to care for.

25-timer, what would it take for you to not run this year if the BAA decides to host the event as normal?

Would sort of scenario would make you decide to not run if the BAA hosts it?

when london is inevitably cancelled - do any UK runners know of any smaller (fast) marathons taking place in early-mid April? Don't want to let this training and form go to waste

Jamesengle6 wrote:

I'm wondering how you arrived at a couple of things:

Highest trusted society in history?

Education is better?

Crime is lower (maybe so...)?

More unity and social cohesion?

LOL. Crime rates...US is better than almost no other developed countries. Or look at it by intentional homicide rate....again, US way behind most other developed countries.

US Health care...a joke.

Education...that you're spouting this nonsense is argument 1 that our education is also terrible.

The rest are equally absurd but phrased so meaninglessly why even bother.

0%

Put down the bong, bro.

Rotterdam, Hamburg, Vienna, Belgrade, Dusseldorf, Hanover, Krakow, Leipzig...in fact, there are lots, assuming they're not cancelled. Looking myself for if/when Boston gets the axe.

think these are all large-ish scale which would also be cancelled. I was more thinking about ones of 1,000 people or less which would not be cancelled.

Thank you though!

funrunner20 wrote:

think these are all large-ish scale which would also be cancelled. I was more thinking about ones of 1,000 people or less which would not be cancelled.

Thank you though!

Belgrade is <1000. Many others in Eurp capitals are 2500, 5000, 7500.

funrunner20 wrote:

think these are all large-ish scale which would also be cancelled. I was more thinking about ones of 1,000 people or less which would not be cancelled.

Thank you though!

Ghent <1000 marathon

The real Boston marathon,in Lincolnshire.

debbie down trend wrote:

It looks like the BAA is going to let the CDC make the call. When the CDC makes the call to cancel, the BAA will say it is out of their soap and water cleaned hands and they can not do anything about it.

I hope the CDC makes the right call based on their data and knowledge about the spread of the virus.

NYC Half (March 15) is taking the same approach.

Paris marathon was just postponed until 18 October

Right now the case numbers in the US double every 3 days. Projecting the situation if growth continues at the same rate:

3/5: 200 (today)

3/8: 400

3/11: 800

3/14: 1,600

3/17: 3,200

3/20: 6,400

3/23: 12,800

3/26: 25,600

3/29: 51,200

4/1: 102,400 (more cases in the US than there are worldwide right now)

4/4: 204,800

4/7: 409,600

4/10: 819,200

4/13: 1.6 million

4/17: 3.2 million

4/20: 6.4 million (Boston Marathon race day)

Granted, growth will probably slow at that point since many are already infected but we would definitely be in the millions if it doesn't come to drastic measures, e.g. lockdowns.

We got bigger issues than the Boston Marathon.

This is one of the least intelligent posts I've ever read

No kidding. I seriously wonder how people so crippled in fear by this are getting by day-to-day. The mental anguish some people are going through about something they have no control over is probably more unhealthy than catching the dang virus.