Can Rhonex Kipruto end Kenya 10 000m drought in the Olympics

Kipruto is only 20 years old. Anything is possible.

Abeneziel wrote:

El Keniano wrote:

So consensus is the Kenyan drought will continue into its 52nd year? You guys willing to put money on that?

I don't rule out anything.

Nobody know who will show up in best shape. Right now Cheptegai would be the number one favourite, and fast closer like Kejelcha, if he run the 10 000m would be number two like in the world championship. Mo Farah is a wild card in the mix, but older and without Salazar, he could very well crash out and finish 8th (hopefully)

If Kipruto can developp a 55 finish in a fast race he is a contender, if not, he will be beaten even in a fast if he can's destroy Cheptegai before the last lap.

Do you think he is a bit like Tadese was? What is his speed training?

Exactly what i think..Right now Rhonex just doesn't have the speed to win against the top contenders...Could that change? sure, he's still young but like you compared with i see him as someone capable of fast times like Tadese but like him can't win a championship/Olympics.

If he decides to go out and go sub 26:40....you really think others like Cheptegai/Kejelcha couldn't just draft off him like Bekele did to Tadese in 2009?

Tron wrote:

Exactly what i think..Right now Rhonex just doesn't have the speed to win against the top contenders...Could that change? sure, he's still young but like you compared with i see him as someone capable of fast times like Tadese but like him can't win a championship/Olympics.

If he decides to go out and go sub 26:40....you really think others like Cheptegai/Kejelcha couldn't just draft off him like Bekele did to Tadese in 2009?

That would be an exciting question to answer and a very exciting race !

Bekele is the WR holder and already was at that time, there were few doubts he could handle Tadese pace.

There would be more doubts with Cheptegei/Mo Farah/Kejelcha, eventough Cheptegei now seem at least evenly match with Kipruto for pure endurance.

I found another Kenyan to compare with Kipruto:

Micah Kogo, ran 26:35 at 20 years old in 2006, won the bronze in Beijing in 2008, and never broke 13:00 in the 5 000m despite running it extensively.

So Kipruto another Micah Kogo or a future olympic champion? Answer given in Tokyo...

Abeneziel wrote:

Tron wrote:

Exactly what i think..Right now Rhonex just doesn't have the speed to win against the top contenders...Could that change? sure, he's still young but like you compared with i see him as someone capable of fast times like Tadese but like him can't win a championship/Olympics.

If he decides to go out and go sub 26:40....you really think others like Cheptegai/Kejelcha couldn't just draft off him like Bekele did to Tadese in 2009?

That would be an exciting question to answer and a very exciting race !

Bekele is the WR holder and already was at that time, there were few doubts he could handle Tadese pace.

There would be more doubts with Cheptegei/Mo Farah/Kejelcha, eventough Cheptegei now seem at least evenly match with Kipruto for pure endurance.

that's true, none are the quality of Bekele at that time...but I would venture at least one of that group (Cheptegei/ Farah/Kejelcha/Gebrhiwet/Barega/etc….) would be able to follow and draft the entire way until the last lap

Will Kejelcha/Barega try to double 5 000/10 000 at this olympic? What is the ethiopian federation position on that?

Abeneziel wrote:

Will Kejelcha/Barega try to double 5 000/10 000 at this olympic? What is the ethiopian federation position on that?

it seems at least last year for the Worlds it wasn't an option but used to always be so not sure why that would have changed if said runners gave them the best shot for a win

Tron wrote:

Abeneziel wrote:

Will Kejelcha/Barega try to double 5 000/10 000 at this olympic? What is the ethiopian federation position on that?

it seems at least last year for the Worlds it wasn't an option but used to always be so not sure why that would have changed if said runners gave them the best shot for a win

Sure it was - Moh ran both.

El Keniano wrote:

So consensus is the Kenyan drought will continue into its 52nd year? You guys willing to put money on that?

Yeah I’ll take the field for gold over Rhonex in 2020...

the hyena you’ll see wrote:

El Keniano wrote:

So consensus is the Kenyan drought will continue into its 52nd year? You guys willing to put money on that?

Yeah I’ll take the field for gold over Rhonex in 2020...

Perfect! According to this board, Rhonex need not bother showing up in Tokyo. I'll love bumping this thread in August.

El Keniano wrote:

the hyena you’ll see wrote:

Yeah I’ll take the field for gold over Rhonex in 2020...

Perfect! According to this board, Rhonex need not bother showing up in Tokyo. I'll love bumping this thread in August.

"not bother showing up" is not the same as "not the odds on favorite to win gold".

No votes for my man Kam? Didn't he win the national 10k trial, but not go to Doha? Broke the 1/2 marathon WR and won NYC instead.

El Keniano wrote:

the hyena you’ll see wrote:

Yeah I’ll take the field for gold over Rhonex in 2020...

Perfect! According to this board, Rhonex need not bother showing up in Tokyo. I'll love bumping this thread in August.

Only a Kenyan poser would consider any single person a lock for gold, let alone the 4th fastest guy last year with no kick.

The closest thing to a guarantee in the 10,000 that I can think of in recent memory would be 2008 Bekele. (Double Gold/Double OR)

walter j wrote:

Sure it was - Moh ran both.

That's completely different.

Uk had one runner able to win or medal in both events.

Ethiopians have an army of runners in each event. They will only allow a big favourite to make the double, like Bekele did some times.

DesmonDe wrote:

walter j wrote:

Sure it was - Moh ran both.

That's completely different.

Uk had one runner able to win or medal in both events.

Ethiopians have an army of runners in each event. They will only allow a big favourite to make the double, like Bekele did some times.

Moh = Mohammed Ahmed

Mo = Mo Farah

Anyway, the point you are making on him being (Canada's) only medal chance still stands. However, the way people speak of Kejelcha around here as if he's the next Farah, I'd think they may let him double.

Halls Balls wrote:

No votes for my man Kam? Didn't he win the national 10k trial, but not go to Doha? Broke the 1/2 marathon WR and won NYC instead.

You guys think a Kamwror level runner(endorsed runner) can make more money setting a WR and then winning a major marathon than winning a world title?

walter j wrote:

Anyway, the point you are making on him being (Canada's) only medal chance still stands. However, the way people speak of Kejelcha around here as if he's the next Farah, I'd think they may let him double.

Kejelcha failed to medal in 2007 in the 5 000m , and worst, opened the first lane to Farah. He got the silver at the 10 000m last year but got outkicked by Cheptegai despite being the fastest raced, eroded by the pace.

There is Edris, Barega, Gebrhiwet , Belihu , Mekonnen , Telahun Bekele competing for places in the 5 000 and 10 000.

Edris is a lock for the 5 000 since he is the two times world champions. The others are very close and none have the superiority to claim the right to do the double, unless he outiright dominate the 2020 season.

The only thing they are a lock for is GOAT doper.

Abeneziel wrote:

walter j wrote:Anyway, the point you are making on him being (Canada's) only medal chance still stands. However, the way people speak of Kejelcha around here as if he's the next Farah, I'd think they may let him double.

Kejelcha failed to medal in 2007 in the 5 000m , and worst, opened the first lane to Farah. He got the silver at the 10 000m last year but got outkicked by Cheptegai despite being the fastest raced, eroded by the pace. There is Edris, Barega, Gebrhiwet , Belihu , Mekonnen , Telahun Bekele competing for places in the 5 000 and 10 000.Edris is a lock for the 5 000 since he is the two times world champions. The others are very close and none have the superiority to claim the right to do the double, unless he outiright dominate the 2020 season.

Edris is a lock to contend the 5,000m or win it..?

Edris may be the odds-on favorite to win but no one is a lock.

“Lock” as I understand it is tantamount to “all but guaranteed to win.”