I have to admit you do make good arguments
I just keep coming back to the basic theme that our intuition is not accurate
And the fact is bills using statistics and data to back up his assessment
But there's always a margin of error so. Maybe those other races should have been a couple of points higher and this should have been a couple of points lower. I could definitely see a girl stepping up five points for a big race. Maybe they went out slower for some of those past races and that's why the ratings were down.
I mean Amber Trotter ran 20 speed points higher on her big race. Honestly you got to do your own for tistical analysis then try to back it up with numbers. Cuz just relying on your intuition and what you think is possible is not accurate
I mean let's face it people are naturally Wishful thinkers they naturally see patterns were they are not. They naturally exaggerate and embellish
So bills trying to cut through all that with Statistics and data and reliable analysis
Starliper was only five points higher than her best vanderkooi seven Dudek 9
If you put a two-point margin of error that can all get knocked down to well within reason. It looks like Dudek is just really peeking at this time of the year.