Supertramp wrote:
Before we start, yes, "THE TOUGHEST RUNNERS!!!", I get it. The runners who are mentally and physically the toughest are going to do better in bad weather. I couldn't agree more.
But aside from that, who benefits? I've usually thought that the guys who are stronger aerobically and over long distances tend to benefit more when the weather is bad, but could more of a 800/1600 guy prefer the slower pace?
Also, really my main question, what sort of team does it benefit? Would you rather be a team with serious front runner stars who lack depth when the weather turns? Or does it benefit more well-rounded teams that might be lacking a lowstick?
Curious what people think and have observed in the past?
First of all, discounting the main types of runners it benefits and then expecting us to come up with other answers is kind of a ridiculous thing to do.
With that said, with all types of weather, the types of runners that it "benefits" the most are the types of runners who prepare the best for it. If it's hot, the runners who hydrated prepare the best. If it's cold, it probably benefits the runners who wear the appropriate apparel (not necessarily more, but whatever holds in enough heat but doesn't cause overheating). For "bad weather" whatever that means, it'll benefit those who likely have accepted the inevitable and come up with a suitable race plan.
It certainly does not benefit a front runner, as they aren't able to get away as easily and might face the consequences of getting out hard in bad conditions. However, remember this, teams rarely win anything without a front runner. Every good team likely has somebody finishing in the top 5 or 10 near the front.
I'd say in mud and snow, it benefits runners who get out really well in the race and hold their position. In perfect conditions, it benefits everyone, but I'm sure people may go out a bit too fast if they're feeling great on the course.