Texas XC

I would believe Jenna Holland of Southlake Carroll would be the favorite, in my opinion though. I believe she is ranked #4 in the state and #3 in 6A (counting Brown’s 16:12). It will be interesting to see how that race shakes ou.,t

So I looked up Jenna and she only had 1 loss to another 6a girl, Avery Clover. Clover lost once to Natalie Cook who lost once this season to... you guessed it, Jenna. Lol

Yeah it is an absolute toss up. 5A girls should be a lock for Morris, but you never know with Culbreath. Morris has got to be the favorite now. 4A will be similar to 6A. A lot of runners to consider. I think it all depends on how much Canyon peaks like they did last year. I couldn’t believe what I saw during their race at state in 2018. Dominated the race before they got to the mile marker. Girls side will be exciting.

On the guys side, you can just about book each race now. Kirk should take the 6A in most eyes, however I think Shoppe can pull the upset. You would assume Morris runs and wins 5A. He did run at District so his postseason push has begun. Greer should take 4A. Greer may have a competitor or two with Barlow, Gomez, or Frick, but despite the depth in 4A, it’s probably the most lopsided race. Greer may be the most naturally talented runner in the state.

6A

Boys: Shoppe Girls: Holland

5A

Morris Twins

4A

Boys: Greer Girls: Stuart

I know for a fact many of these meets are short, milesplit invite was 3.04 and district 5-6a was short as well. I think Avery Clover, or Natalie Cook could take the win at state, once again if Brynn is still injured by that point, as I have heard she might race at regionals if her team qualifies.

My final prediction will be

1) Avery Clover 17:41

2) Natalie Cook 17:43

3) Jenna Holland 17:51

4) Heidi Nelson 17:56

5) Sophie Atkinson 18:03

As for teams

1) Flower Mound

2) Southlake Carroll

3) Boerne Champion

And I will do the guys as well:

1) Ryan Schoppe 14:43

2) Jarrett Kirk 14:46

3) Ryan Cardinal 14:47

4) Anthony Monte 14:56

5) Thomas Romanow 14:58

6) Ethan Hammer 15:03

7) Grant Wilcox 15:04

8) Whit Dennis 15:09

9) Nick Majerus 15:09

10) Luke Lambert 15:11

Teams

1) Flower Mound

2) The Woodlands

3) Wylie

Greer does somewhere around 70-80 mpw, but he trains under Tom Schwarz

Wylie and Lambert are two too watch for. I agree. Steadily chopping away at his time. Interesting to look at his and the team’s McNeil race. However, to their offense, the course was somewhere around 3.2-3.25 so the Sub 15:50, even sub 16 guys, all had very impressive outings

Greer will interesting come the National Postseason. I think he will qualify for NXN and has the strength to run incredibly well. I rank him in the Top 10 in the Nation. Same with Shoppe. I have heard about his training under TinMan. They have high hopes for him. I believe Whit Dennis does as well.

Brynns team didn't advance past district. Also, a 9th grader beat London at district so now im wondering who that new girl is.

Canyon got whooped by Hereford at the region 1 preview. Hereford had a 19s split from the front. Even Sundown beat Canyon if you combine 1-4a. I'm not sure about the individual champion in 4a but right now my team pick is Hereford. I heard Holliday and Bushland are looking solid as well. My individual pick for girls 4a was also Stuart.

A little search and I found this. Guess Canyon wont be had so easily. This will probably be a very good race both at regionals and state.

http://www.atm2go.us/results/cc2019/districts/3aaaa/

London Culbreath is dealing with achilles and IT band injuries and has been battling them all season.

TexasRunnerFan wrote:

So I looked up Jenna and she only had 1 loss to another 6a girl, Avery Clover. Clover lost once to Natalie Cook who lost once this season to... you guessed it, Jenna. Lol

I think Eva Jess is undefeated vs 6a and deserves so mention.

Also Avery's lost to 6a Heidi Nielson and Sophie Atkinson twice this season alone but Jenna and Natalie also lost to both as well at Friday Night lights so not sure that "one loss" logic works out. Heidis won both NBNO 5k and the Addidas Dream mile and been to u20 world cross and U20 PanAms so no slouch.

However, it appears Heidi skipped her district meet so shes out, she had alot of kenisio tape on at McNiel and didnt look normal so probably injured too. Under those conditions I would say its now Jess, Cook, Clover, Atkinson and Holland as the favorites with Cook having to be the one to beat.

Lone Star Thunder, what would you say about the 6A boys race?

Sorry I totally blanked on Heidi and was thinking she was 5a.

Also, the reason I may not see those other races is they weren't listed on the site I looked on. I didn't research multiple sites just quickly looked on one.

Questionering wrote:

Lone Star Thunder, what would you say about the 6A boys race?

Very easy Ryan Schoppe, 6a 3200m champ, and Dream mile champ.... he should have won last year as well.... he is an underated legit national contender, if he runs Nike or Footlocker he could easily be top 5. I think he would beat 5a Morris who is proven at the national level - though Morris is a big stage guy so hard to predict for sure how that will turn out. Schoppe is winning right now without even trying so I wouldnt read much into any speed ratings on him... though he has had tendency for some real head scratchers now again though but still I dont hesitate to say he is better on the boys side than Brynn was on the girls.

Lindhorst probably had some injury issues early or was being rested early season. He can really throw down on occasion so maybe the late season focus will pay off and he will be in the hunt if something happens to Schoppe. I like Monte as well but he always seems to be an "almost there" type - he is getting great coaching at Vandergrift. Obviously Flower Mounds Kirk is the other one to look to be in the mix. Reality is though its Schoppes to lose and its not close.

How serious are London's injuries?

She's had such an awesome career. And she ran really fast at Woodbridge. Did she hurt herself since that race

Hope she's able to run fast at States and Nationals. What do you think is she saving herself for faster times in November or are her injuries serious

Someone at the district meet said that she had KT tape all down her left leg, with emphasis on the Achilles and it band area

I do see a little tape above the ankle.

I'm hoping it's just part of her training and strategy to run slower in October and then have some fast times in November and December

She ran a 1622 3 Mile at Woodbridge so unless something happened since then she still is capable of Fast Times. Yeah I don't think anyone else besides brene Brown is capable of running that fast from Texas so will say hopefully it's just part of her training