The class of the field. If he can be near his best, he will win. Lemi Berhanu Hayle (known as Hayle Lemi on his IAAF profile) is still only 25yo and ranked 89. In 2015 and 16 was amongst the upper echelon of the world’s marathoners, rated fifth and 8th in this site’s year end rankings. He won Hengshui Lake last year in 2.08.51 but has DNF’s at Boston the last two years after being a former winner there. In 2017 won Xiamen in 2.08.27 and 4th in New York in 2.11.52. Has a PB of 2.04.33 from his second in Dubai 2016. That year was running among the medalists at the Olympics before fading to 13th.