Rumor: Rupp and Ritz are out of Chicago

I honestly just think OP is guessing but the fact is, it’s a good guess and if he’s right then everyone will think he knows something.

Rupp might not race because Salazar wants to guarantee the Olympics and knows what he’s doing with Rupp, and if Ritz is feeling banged up it also makes sense if he tries to go for another Olympics instead of Chicago to cap off his career too

Guessing... wrote:

I honestly just think OP is guessing but the fact is, it’s a good guess and if he’s right then everyone will think he knows something.

Rupp might not race because Salazar wants to guarantee the Olympics and knows what he’s doing with Rupp, and if Ritz is feeling banged up it also makes sense if he tries to go for another Olympics instead of Chicago to cap off his career too

Why would he enter the Chicago Marathon if he did not intend to run?

I think the poster may be right with Rupp as he did not run Philadelphia even though he was on the Elite list, And why would he run Philadelphia with such a weak field, an in shape and healthy Rupp would have likely ran Copenhagen against other big guns, not Philadelphia with today's field where he would have no competition.

I wasn't guessing last year and I'm not guessing this year. I find it odd that the Johnson Bros. don't have any inside info when it comes to these kind of things.

I believe it. Rupp was registered for the RNR Philly half (as someone pointed out in another thread), but wasn't on the start list. That and the fact that he's not racing anything else indicates something is wrong.

need to pay attention wrote:

I know that you won't believe me because I am not registered and won't send a personal email to the Johnson Bros but I tried to tell you guys last year about Jordan and Amy.

https://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=8956042

Let me try again. No Ritz or Rupp this year in Chicago.

Congratulations in advance, Nostradamus. You are guessing on a 'yes-no' question ( Will Rupp run in Chicago?), so you have a 50-50 chance of being right, without knowing anything.

need to pay attention wrote:

I wasn't guessing last year and I'm not guessing this year. I find it odd that the Johnson Bros. don't have any inside info when it comes to these kind of things.

Why is that odd? No self respecting elite would ever share any inside information with them. They're backstabbers, rumor mongers, and gossip artists. This forum causes far more negativity and damage than any positivity for the sport.

No thanks. wrote:

need to pay attention wrote:

I wasn't guessing last year and I'm not guessing this year. I find it odd that the Johnson Bros. don't have any inside info when it comes to these kind of things.

Why is that odd? No self respecting elite would ever share any inside information with them. They're backstabbers, rumor mongers, and gossip artists. This forum causes far more negativity and damage than any positivity for the sport.

Lol, you're both right. The brojos should be getting scoops like that but a lot of elite groups/elite athletes avoid a "leading voice" in the sport.

Curious about Ritz. He just ran Crim a couple weeks back & it looks like that went fine. Can understand if Rupp doesn't run. Would imagine they would want to race him sometime before Chicago since he hasn't raced in a year. Rock N Roll Philly would have been the right call. Hasay ran so something must not be right there. Rupp can also take his time getting healthy for the Trials. No need to push through Chicago if he isn't healthy. He's so talented & head & shoulders above the rest of American men's distance running I like him making the team if he doesn't run a race until then.

The Chicago marathon elite athlete coordinator is definitely someone who came out as a loser when the Olympic trials were granted gold label status. At the beginning of the summer, Chicago was the obvious option for the huge number of American pros who did not have the A standard. As you would expect, the elite field included all but a handful of the top Americans. About a week after the elite field was released, it was announced that the top finishers at the trials would all have the standard, and Chicago instantly lost most of its importance to most of the top Americans.

Congratulations in advance, Nostradamus. You are guessing on a 'yes-no' question ( Will Rupp run in Chicago?), so you have a 50-50 chance of being right, without knowing anything.[/quote]

It's not the same as flipping a coin, where there are equal chances of getting either outcome. Rupp has participated in every marathon he has ever entered.

Ignordamus wrote:

Congratulations in advance, Nostradamus. You are guessing on a 'yes-no' question ( Will Rupp run in Chicago?), so you have a 50-50 chance of being right, without knowing anything.

Do you know how probability works?

That’s not how probability works. But for simplicities sake let’s just pretend these are 50/50 choices (which they aren’t) and that you have two athletes to guess, both with a 50% chance of guessing correctly. I’ll leave this question open-ended so that you can redeem yourself ? .

1. Rupp yes. Riz no

2. Rupp yes. Ritz yes.

3. Rupp no. Ritz no

4. Rupp no Ritz yes

So a no/no is only a 1 in 4. Surely not 50/50

Also Rupp has never had a DNS for any marathon which means his probability of running is over 50 percent.

Ritz just ran a respectable 10 mile a couple weeks ago so obviously isn't hurt. Probability greater than 50 percent.

If this is in fact true after the Hasay/Cragg thing last year.

Quincyschmidt wrote:

The Chicago marathon elite athlete coordinator is definitely someone who came out as a loser when the Olympic trials were granted gold label status. At the beginning of the summer, Chicago was the obvious option for the huge number of American pros who did not have the A standard. As you would expect, the elite field included all but a handful of the top Americans. About a week after the elite field was released, it was announced that the top finishers at the trials would all have the standard, and Chicago instantly lost most of its importance to most of the top Americans.

What you said

Probable is not precise wrote:

1. Rupp yes. Riz no

2. Rupp yes. Ritz yes.

3. Rupp no. Ritz no

4. Rupp no Ritz yes

So a no/no is only a 1 in 4. Surely not 50/50

Also Rupp has never had a DNS for any marathon which means his probability of running is over 50 percent.

Ritz just ran a respectable 10 mile a couple weeks ago so obviously isn't hurt. Probability greater than 50 percent.

If this is in fact true after the Hasay/Cragg thing last year.

The "50/50 chance" is an inside joke/meme on here. Of course everyone knows that's not how probability works.

Um..... wrote:

Ignordamus wrote:

Congratulations in advance, Nostradamus. You are guessing on a 'yes-no' question ( Will Rupp run in Chicago?), so you have a 50-50 chance of being right, without knowing anything.

Do you know how probability works?

Why even waste time with this poster? He clearly thinks he's smarter than the rest, despite evidence supporting otherwise. Just let it go. I agree that his screen name, Ignordamus, is fitting.

Rupp was on the elite list for Philly? I never saw that. Can someone show me some proof of that?

That said, Rupp usually runs a tuneup race before his marathons and has been conspicuously absent so far with four weeks until race day.

It is interesting that the Oregon Project came out with a "Rebuilding Rupp - Episode 1" back in April and there has been no episode 2 as of yet...

This insta caption of his 21 mile session was marked with #rebuildingrupp

“Galan” Rupp was bib number 10 if you searched registrants on the RNR Philadelphia website. It may have been a placeholder if he had decided to run.

Probable is not precise wrote:

1. Rupp yes. Riz no

2. Rupp yes. Ritz yes.

3. Rupp no. Ritz no

4. Rupp no Ritz yes

So a no/no is only a 1 in 4. Surely not 50/50

Also Rupp has never had a DNS for any marathon which means his probability of running is over 50 percent.

Ritz just ran a respectable 10 mile a couple weeks ago so obviously isn't hurt. Probability greater than 50 percent.

If this is in fact true after the Hasay/Cragg thing last year.

0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25