136 & counting ... wrote:
Since you have no idea how hard they're going to run this, you can't predict times, although a lot of these American 1500s with good runners tend to go mid 3:30s. But I am quite sure that Brazier will be in the mix for the win at any pace, and I think that his potential in this event is very, very high. David Krummenacker ran 1:43 high and 3:31.96 in one try; Kaki ran 1:42/3:31; Symmonds ran 1:42.95/3:34.
IAAF currently lists 136 outdoor sub-1:44 800m men. Most of the sub-1:44 800m men never broke 3:35 1500m and some never broke 3:45 1500m. A fast 800m is weakly correlated with a fast 1500m.
Thank you, a sane voice on this thread.