MIAC XC 2019

Carleton would have beaten both Olaf and St Thomas at nationals last year with a top 5 of only underclassmen (Mueller, Wilkinson, Meikle, Nakasakam, Lavey) but would have struggled at conference. That being said if the top three teams were to score only their returners (seniors still displace but don't score to make it easier) the results of last year's MIAC meet would be:

Carleton-63 Mueller, Meikle, Wilkinson, Nakasaka, Santos

Olaf-83 Kadrofske, Primozich, Brenk, Herzog, Cassidy

UST-92 Wachter, Karrick, Kazlowski, Weil, Kiley

Bethel-154 Lelinga, Meskele, Bethke, Mendel, Woetzel

So it seems that Carleton is still the favorite, with Bethel a strong but slightly distant 4th. Carleton should see an extra boost at nationals over the top three too, given previous performance.

Now the question become between Olaf and St Thomas. On paper Olaf looks better, but the recent track performances by UST freshmen makes me think that they can edge the Oles this year. Now it may seem to many that the Tommies beating a Northfield team is sort of like the Patriots beating the Yankees* as far as new teams winning go, but it will be nice to see some divergence from the Carleton-Olaf binary we've seen the last two years.

Because of how much the sub-30 finishes at conference can change I will abstain from doing too much analysis there, other than to say that with the return of Tremayne Collins expect St. Johns to rise slightly in the rankings from last year, but only slightly, they have a shot at Bethel, but an outside one, too much of their talent graduated last year.

My predictions, divided into tiers based on who I think will be competing against each other

Carleton

UST

Olaf

Bethel

St Johns

Gustavus

Concordia (I like their freshhmen to improve over Mac)

Mac

Hamline

Saint Mary's (edges Augsburg)

Augsburg

Of course freshmen, especially in the bottom places, have an opportunity to drastically reshape this landscape, but for the most part I don't expect freshmen to play a huge role in reshaping the top 3. Carleton has become too deep at this point to need to rely on one, as are UST and Olaf (although I suppose a stud Ole freshman could catapult them back into 2nd)

*Yes I know the difference between football and baseball

BREAKING TRADE NEWS:

My sources say that St. John’s has just dealt Treymane Collins to St. Olaf in a three way trade deal with Carleton. Carleton has been dealt Jack Henschel and Thomas Dea, presumably as an attempt by Olaf to clear up cap space for this big signing. In exchange St. John’s receives a lock of Matt Wilkinson’s hair and a potential second round pick for Carleton.

D3Woj wrote:

BREAKING TRADE NEWS:

My sources say that St. John’s has just dealt Treymane Collins to St. Olaf in a three way trade deal with Carleton. Carleton has been dealt Jack Henschel and Thomas Dea, presumably as an attempt by Olaf to clear up cap space for this big signing. In exchange St. John’s receives a lock of Matt Wilkinson’s hair and a potential second round pick for Carleton.

Wow great trade. Henschel's contract had really been a burden for the Oles. And scouts say that lock of hair has a really high ceiling, good trade for the Johnnies too. Carleton got fleeced

What is interesting is it looks only like a head position for track and not cross country, what's up with that?

With about a month to go, time to revive this thread. Any major impact freshman coming in??

I think we all know incoming freshmen don't matter even close to as much as this st olaf job posting. whats up at olaf?

mntrackgeek wrote:

With about a month to go, time to revive this thread. Any major impact freshman coming in??

I hear Augsburg is gonna get a freshman this year. They only have like 5 people on their team, so he will make a pretty big impact for them

Donson still has a year of eligibility, any news from Carleton if he will take some online classes to return them to CC glory?

Hi, it’s me DCG. I just wanted to tell everybody that I have taken up an internship with SJU alumni to go to space. It is going to be very cool. Mueller will certainly make up for loss of me. Thank you.

it's your favorite d-tier college youtuber back with another garbage video, this time me showcasing the top returners & throwing my two cents in to some dark horse picks & tentative pre-season team rankings. hope you get a kick out of it - maybe it brings some life back into this thread

I think the MIAC is pulling in some decent mid-tier athletes this fall. Lots of 9:40/4:25 guys. I’m excited personally to see how some incoming dudes affect team placings.

ShittySpielberg wrote:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Rx5a3caASk

it's your favorite d-tier college youtuber back with another garbage video, this time me showcasing the top returners & throwing my two cents in to some dark horse picks & tentative pre-season team rankings. hope you get a kick out of it - maybe it brings some life back into this thread

I really think you're starting to get a hang of the editing (sound and image) aspect of your videos! Great job! Plus, obviously, it's nice to see someone posting stuff when alums like me can't make it to every race. Wish we coulda had someone doing this when I was a youngling.

ShittySpielberg wrote:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Rx5a3caASk

it's your favorite d-tier college youtuber back with another garbage video, this time me showcasing the top returners & throwing my two cents in to some dark horse picks & tentative pre-season team rankings. hope you get a kick out of it - maybe it brings some life back into this thread

Don't count yourself out, Spielberg. With your regional xc and outdoor track performances, I'd bet on a Top 5 finish for you. Of course you can't put that in the video lol.

Bumping thread. Needs more beef. Where is the Olaf JV squad when we need em?

SMOKE WEED ALL DAY DON'T GIVE A F*CK

i dont see anyway st thomas wins the miac... do they even beat st olaf? look at their 5ks from outdoor

how wrote:

i dont see anyway st thomas wins the miac... do they even beat st olaf? look at their 5ks from outdoor

Spielberg is simply giving the most appropriate guess based on his position. He can't give Carleton the win (that's a losing attitude from an Ole. They see Carleton as their real main competitor) and it would be arrogant to say Olaf will win even if he believes it.

1. STO

2. UST

3. Carls