Chances of Mo Farah beating Kipchoge in London?

Mo Farah can only beat Eliud Kipchoge by putting droja in Kipchoge's Cola Cao.

I’d like to see a world record dual for the ages. No matter the winner I want a great fast race down to the end.

Somewhere in the ballpark of 5% this year.

DistanceNerd123 wrote:

I’d like to see a world record dual for the ages. No matter the winner I want a great fast race down to the end.

Pretty greedy to want both a men's and a women's world record.

I've heard through the grape vine about some ridiculous workouts that Mo has been dropping in Ethopia. Like crazy workouts indicating 2:03 shape...

Will not be surprised if Mo can beat Eluid. But Eluid has run 2:01...so hey, probably not.

30% chance he does it. Which is quite high when you think about it.

Banana Bread wrote:

I think the gap between them will be a lot smaller. Mo Farah will at least get 2nd place. He always manages to steal the energy from runners with faster PBs. It is like he can suck the energy out of the runners around him. Even though some of them have faster PBs I expect Mo to destroy them anyway.

worth a bet then. odds are essentially 2/1 if he gets top 3. if he wins, you get more.

Mo is less accomplished than the Bekele and Geb. Just a fact and there is nothing wrong with that. Also you couldn't have picked two race distances any with less correlation than the 1500m and the marathon. Had you said the half/10k or even the 5k. Then I could agree with you. Although these would probably indicate that Kipchoge, Bekele, and Geb are all better than Mo.

Mo will simply have to prove his marathon status by competing very well in London. Mo having no world xc titles, or outdoor world records hurts him when being compared to these guys.

DistanceNerd123 wrote:

I’d like to see a world record dual for the ages. No matter the winner I want a great fast race down to the end.

*Duel

OOOOh Fun betting wrote:

Is betting on races legal in the United States? I haven't really seen it here. I'm assuming it's legal in Europe since they're doing it for London, or is this London Marathon gambling a little shady?

Just go to Vegas, you can bet on any sports!

dfa wrote:

We know that the two are squaring off in London soon.

Mo looked comfortable in the London half.

The question is, if Mo somehow dusts Kipchoge and runs a 2:02:30, should we just give the GOAT title to Mo?

4 gold medals, 2 marathon majors, 5 world titles.

Or will we let our irrational hate of the man blind us?

0 chances. He should be looking to compete with Kipsang and Kitata since we all know Kipchoge will win.

betting man wrote:

Better question:

At what betting odds would you put money on Mo winning?

I would at a $5.50 payout (in case of a win) for a $1 bet. Can't recall if that's 11:2 or 2:11 in betting terms.

That's 11:2. I'd put him at perhaps 4:1 without looking, he's won so many races in his life that you can't argue that he doesn't that winning spirit in him.

chances? wrote:

30%

I second this. Can't wait to watch this one.

The only thing I would bet on in London is Kipchoge winning. The rest of the finish order is up for grabs.

Mo doesn't take it just for the fact that he does that ridiculous Mobot gesture which never fails to make him look like a flaming dumbaxs.

Banana Bread wrote:

I think the gap between them will be a lot smaller. Mo Farah will at least get 2nd place. He always manages to steal the energy from runners with faster PBs. It is like he can suck the energy out of the runners around him. Even though some of them have faster PBs I expect Mo to destroy them anyway.

FARAH BREAD

No amount of EPO and negligent UKADA testing can prevent Kipchoge from losing to MO.

HOOWIE wrote:

No amount of EPO and negligent UKADA testing can prevent Kipchoge from losing to MO.

I don’t think you are saying what you mean.

I don't think they mean Mo is +220 against any other male. I think they mean all other males.

I'd put a lot of money on Kipchoge at that price vs Mo

Of course, I make my living betting and don't live where I can bet online.

If the leaders pass through 25 miles slower than 2:07, Mohammed Farah will have a 50% chance of winning. The faster the race, the lower Farah's probability of winning London.