On scale of 1 to 10, how hard will Eliud Kipchoge spank Mo Farah?

It is not clear at all that Kipchoge wins.

He is the favorite, but those guys don't play around and are in heavy training. He will need another very very good day in the office.

Keeping the winning sequence going is very very hard... everyone loses eventually.

Years ago ... wrote:

Years ago, I know Kipchoge out kicked Farah in an indoor 3000m or two mile race. I don't think Kipchoge has done intense track training in awhile. I don't mean 440 yard repeats, 65 seconds a lap. Farah is trained to finish races sub-1:55 last 800m. For Kipchoge to beat Farah it has to be a fast race. That's a lot of pressure. Kipchoge doesn't want to have race last two miles sub-8:50 to beat Farah. Anyone can implode and have an off day.

Kicking at near end of a marathon over the last 200 of a 10K, are completely different and were not talking about Mirus Yifter and Dave Bedford, either. It would have to be a very slow pace for Mo to win as a 2:01 guy is going to absolutely scorch the last 5K off of a slower pace.

I'm going with 0....ZERO CHANCE.

Simply because he would have to be behind Mo and no chance he's running that slow!

Big Red wrote:

Kipchoge beats Mo handily in a fast race, guess he'll run the legs offa him. There are several ways he could do this, depending on how the race develops.

Regarding "Gaylan", all I can say is that homophobia is still not cool.

Pimple faced, teenage Letsrunners who are still virgins probably think it´s cool.

Time and miles catch up to everyone sooner or later. And as the brojos say, when it goes, it goes quickly.

Kipchoges day may be coming sooner then you think.

2 - 3 level spanking with the outside chance that Farrah solves the marathon and sends Kipchoge home devastated.

areusure? wrote:

I'm going with 0....ZERO CHANCE.

Simply because he would have to be behind Mo and no chance he's running that slow!

Mo is getting better at the distance at each attempt, so why no chance. Kip is not a machine, he will decline or have a bad day at some point. Have to admit though he is as close to a machine you will ever see at the marathon.

What's British English for "Moran"?

You Moran.

Roso. wrote:

areusure? wrote:

I'm going with 0....ZERO CHANCE.

Simply because he would have to be behind Mo and no chance he's running that slow!

Mo is getting better at the distance at each attempt, so why no chance. Kip is not a machine, he will decline or have a bad day at some point. Have to admit though he is as close to a machine you will ever see at the marathon.

People giving Mo a Zero chance have obviously been under a rock for 10 years - the man will be a factor in any race he enters, from 3K to the 'thon. That said, Kipchoge remains the huge favorite. To answer the question: 3 on the spanking, and I'll say Mo has a 15-20% chance against Kip........

Fish and Chips wrote:

With 1 being the slightest slap on the wrist and 100 being a boot to the hind end, how hard will Kipchoge spank Mo in London?

I'm going with a 9.5.

Mo is going to be handed his fish and chips and go home with a bruised soul. Kipchoge is a beast. Can't wait to see crushing.

I bet kipchoge wins comfortably, but by less than 60 seconds. Why would he blast it when he already has the WR and wants a win.?!

He'll be in control and monitor how Farah is doing and then do enough to make it convincing.

Farah is good.

I'll say a 2

If there are two pacing groups and Mo goes with the 2nd, there is an outside chance that Kipchoge blows up and gets passed late in the race. Otherwise, Kipchoge is just going to smash Mo. Mo looked great at Chicago and appeared to have a lot more in the tank when he finished. But the fact of the matter is that Mo might be a low 2:04 guy while Kipchoge is a 2:01 guy who runs 2:03-2:04 on off days. I also don’t think Mo’s kick will be a factor. Kipchoge is damn fast and more prepared to kick hard at the end of a marathon.

It’s not really much of a contest. Mo just doesn’t seem like a 2:02 guy now or ever. To answer OP’s question, I will go with a 5. Mo will run a gutsy race and stay relevant, but he is simply outclassed.

Besides having run the two fastest times ever, Kipchoge has a mental edge over everyone else. I think the other elites know they have to have a great race and Kipchoge has to have problems for them to beat him.

As has already been said, Kipchoge will direct how fast the lead pacers will run, and he’ll be right on them. The other elites will have to run his race to have a real chance of beating him. Kipchoge will not be coming back to them.

only way Mo wins is if Gaylen would have paced him into the first half..

westsouthrunner wrote:

adgadsa wrote:

He'll spank his bony ass so hard it'll break his hand

I think it will be a 1

Obviously, this is Mohamed himself. I mean cmon, “westsouthrunner” is so obvious. West, as in Oregon (where you trained for years), which is located in the western US. And South, as in London (where you moved back to after Portland), which is located in southern England. It’s almost too obvious. But as far as how bad the spanking is gonna be, I hate to tell ya Mo, but it’s gonna be a 10. I hope you’re in to some kinky stuff.

DNdjjdjdjdjd wrote:

Years ago, I remember Kipchoge outkicking Bekele and El G.

Bekele comprehensively turned the tables over the next few years prompting Kipchoge to move up to the roads

Roso. wrote:

areusure? wrote:

I'm going with 0....ZERO CHANCE.

Simply because he would have to be behind Mo and no chance he's running that slow!

Mo is getting better at the distance at each attempt, so why no chance. Kip is not a machine, he will decline or have a bad day at some point. Have to admit though he is as close to a machine you will ever see at the marathon.

Thats the thing though, if Kipchoge runs reasonable well he will beat Farah

The Olympics will be interesting. Obviously it will be purely tactical and Kipchoge won't have his fancy pacers. It will be hot in Tokyo. As well as that, Kipchoge will have to run well under the Olympic Record pace from Beijing to be able to win. He will need a sub 2:05 to stop Mo from being a threat. If Kipchoge starts decaying after his WR and runs slower than 2:03 in London then I will expect him to decay further by Tokyo.

"Mo is going to be handed his fish and chips and go home with a bruised soul. Kipchoge is a beast. Can't wait to see crushing."

Wanting something to happen is not the same thing as making a sensible prediction based on some serious thought!

Farah, as a relative newcomer to the event, has far more potential for improvement than Kipchoge who may well have hit his career best in terms of times run. Kipchoge will start favourite, no doubt about it, but I wouldn't be surprised at a 2:03 from Farah which puts him within range. home support might count for a lot over the last mile or so.

do you hear my panini tear wrote:

The Olympics will be interesting. Obviously it will be purely tactical and Kipchoge won't have his fancy pacers. It will be hot in Tokyo. As well as that, Kipchoge will have to run well under the Olympic Record pace from Beijing to be able to win. He will need a sub 2:05 to stop Mo from being a threat. If Kipchoge starts decaying after his WR and runs slower than 2:03 in London then I will expect him to decay further by Tokyo.

The use of epo and dehydration is a bad thing. Heat will not be an advantage to Aden's favorite son.

Laminar Flow wrote:

do you hear my panini tear wrote:

The Olympics will be interesting. Obviously it will be purely tactical and Kipchoge won't have his fancy pacers. It will be hot in Tokyo. As well as that, Kipchoge will have to run well under the Olympic Record pace from Beijing to be able to win. He will need a sub 2:05 to stop Mo from being a threat. If Kipchoge starts decaying after his WR and runs slower than 2:03 in London then I will expect him to decay further by Tokyo.

The use of epo and dehydration is a bad thing. Heat will not be an advantage to Aden's favorite son.