Any time it goes to common opponents, I get nervous. Up through #24 Stanford, things look pretty certain. At that point, we can say for sure that Ga Tech and Portland both are getting in, which means Washington and Ole Miss are definitely in too. But the question is when. Right now it says both of those can get in on their own so neither needs a push. #25 is Washington due to a common opponents tiebreaker over Minnesota, rejecting Ole Miss (loses head-to-head vs Minnesota) and Southern Utah (loses head-to-head vs Washington). All of them had 2 points. Let's come back to this in a minute.
Then Portland is an easy in for #26. Now we have with 2 points Southern Utah, Oregon St, Minnosta, Ole Miss. Soon NAU and UCLA come into the mix, but they all lose head-to-head against these teams. Based on common opponents, the next two in are Southern Utah and Oregon St. Once Minnesota is in at #29, they give Ole Miss and Georgia Tech each a point and those are the last two teams in. Top teams out are UCLA and NAU who would have had to push in Air Force.
Okay, so first question: what if Minnesota gets in earlier at #27? Then we'd get Ole Miss and Georgia Tech at #28 and #29. This would give UCLA an extra point, and I think sets up a tie between Southern Utah, Oregon St, and UCLA at two points apiece. So either Southern Utah and Oregon St get in and the list of qualifiers is the same, or else UCLA pushes in Oregon State.
Allright, going back to #25, what if Minnesota gets in there? Then Ole Miss and Georgia Tech are #26 and #27. This gives NAU and UCLA a point each, but I think Washington and Portland are still the next two in at #28 and #29. So now UCLA, Oregon St, and Southern Utah are again battling for the last 2 spots.
Summary The women's projections look solid to me. If anything were to change, I'd give UCLA an outside shot to make it and Southern Utah is precarious.