If she ran a 1:12-1:13 and didn't win, everybody would be saying that she has no shot at NYC because "how do you win NYC if you can't win the Staten Island half?" But now that she's run a strong half and won 3 weeks out, you're saying she ran too fast? Should she have run just exactly the way you wanted her to? Are you an Olympic caliber coach like Brad Hudson? Who knows how she'll do since she's still very young and new to the scene, but I think her hard training has set her up well to put her in the mix to win at NYC. Good luck Allie!
Parker Stinson didn't flop at Chicago. He ran a smart, PR race by 4 minutes on a rainy day. I don't care that his last PR was his first marathon, a PR is a PR. His 35K tempo didn't hurt his chances of running fast at Chicago, it gave him the confidence to run fast and PR in Chicago, which he did.
No, totally wrong. If she ran 1:12-1:13 then people might believe it was a truly a workout. She didn't do that. She ran it hard, very hard and it wasn't just a workout effort.
Parker didn't flop at Chicago, but he didn't run even remotely close to the definition of smart. As Frank used to say "as usual, everybody is going out way too fast" and that's what Parker did. He pr'd but could have run faster, but not off that opening 5k to 10k. That was dumb.