Good point about Balboa/VC; you may be right.
16:00 only implies 14:24 if you're relying on that 1.11 factor, and as you already showed, she's been a ways ahead of that --even in races where it looks like she took it easy, like today's.
There's a lot to suggest she might be 10 or 15 seconds ahead of that multiple already, in which case maybe her (prospective) 16-flat would be more in line with a 14:35-40.
Is she *that* good? Yeah, very possibly.
Is she *better* than all those guys? Obviously, that depends on what you mean, and how you choose to look at it.
Clearly, in *absolute* terms, she's not. Just as clearly, in *relative* terms to all other girls who've ever raced in US high-schools, you're Goddamn right she is.
She's *gigantically* better, compared to history, than any guy who's ever raced here either.
And she's therefore gigantically better, compared to *guys'* times, than any girl who's ever raced.
Like I said, she's off the charts. To hold her to a 1.11 multiple of guys' times is clearly too conservative.
Before she's done, she might be more like 1.07, or something absurd like that.