Doped to the Max wrote:
Also, if your 90s cut-off is more about your estimated time frame of EPO use, that may also be incorrect. There's evidence from experts that EPO was used by athletes as early as 1986 when the drug was in it's clinical trial phase:
https://www.nytimes.com/1991/05/19/us/stamina-building-drug-linked-to-athletes-deaths.htmlThis would essentially push back your 1990 date to ~1986 to eliminate the possibility of any of the times you used in your top 5 averages set after 1985 weren't influence by EPO.
It was written in May 91, and talks about deaths over last 4 years. That goes back to 87 not 86.
It talks about 'athletes' in a general context, as it only mentions the deaths of cyclists starting in 1987. It certainly isn't clear that the article believes track runners were using during this time.
It's not a very well written article to be fair. After listing the cyclists who died over a 4 year period from '87 - '90:
"Physicians say they believe athletes began using the drug almost with the beginning of clinical trials in 1986. Then the deaths began. In 1987 five Dutch racers died suddenly. In 1988 a Belgian and two more Dutch riders died. In 1989 five more Dutch riders died, and last year three Belgians and two Dutch riders died. Transfusions of Extra Blood."
it blames them on extra blood from transfusions! That is not the same as injecting EPO. Some confusion there.
So, we have some claim that some physicians believe 'athletes' (cyclists) started using when clinical trials started in 86, but the first death was in 87, and they aren't certain that this was down to EPO either.
There is nothing in the article that gives credence to the assumption that middle and long distance runners were using it in 1986. All the evidence in T&F shows that it wasn't used until the early 90's, and the statistical evidence suggests that widespread use by elites occurred around 1993-1995.