So Collier has faster times at EVERYTHING relevant to this discussion and is the younger of the two athletes that also is not as lean, but you want to bet on Watson? Collier has way more upside at this point.
Look. I think arguments can be made for both. I mean in track times are obviously very important but let's don't forget something very important. Who has won something of significance?
WATSON. She has world youth, world junior and now an NCAA title.
A Stanford woman hasn't won an NCAA outdoor title in the middle distance or distances since 2004.
And the times mentioned above are only seaonal bests.
Watson's PBs are better - 52.69 and 2:00.65 from HS.
Agree that arguments can be made for both.
Watson's PB in the 800 is .20 faster, which is negligible. Her 400 PB of 52.69 is now 3 years ago, so that's hardly relevant anymore either.
Watson's winning time in 2015 for that youth title was 2:03.54
In 2016 she won the U20 title in 2:04.52
In 2018 she won NCAAs in 2:04.21
Watson has stagnated, although if you're a champion and you've stagnated you're still a champion! Maybe she needs to race against pros to be pushed to the next level? Hard to bet against her and her morphological characteristics are absolutely world class.
2018 2:02.20 Sacramento (USA) 25 MAY 2018
2017 2:00.65 Bellinzona (SUI) 18 JUL 2017
2016 2:02.91 Clovis (USA) 25 JUN 2016
2015 2:03.54 Cali (COL) 19 JUL 2015
2014 2:06.35 Humble, TX (USA) 26 JUL 2014
Collier has gotten faster in the 800 each of the past 5 season. I don't know much about Stanford, but I'm putting my money on her for 2019. She had virtually zero competition in Florida in HS and does not appear to be excessively lean like so many female HS superstars, so she still has upside there.
2018 2:00.85 Nashville (USA) 02 JUN 2018
2017 2:03.32 St. Louis (USA) 01 JUN 2017
2016 2:04.89 Clovis (USA) 24 JUN 2016
2015 2:10.11 Gainesville (USA) 02 APR 2015
2014 2:13.54 Jacksonville (USA) 02 MAY 2014