I am going to be completely honest, I think this year D3 XC is less competitive than it has been in past years and I think that WILL benefit the Atlantic Region when it comes to at large bids.
Heres my prediction:
NE: 5 (Amherst, Williams, Middlebury, MIT, Bates)
AR:5 (Geneseo, RPI, SLU,RIT, Oneonta)
ME: 3 ( Haverford, Johns Hopkins, CMU)
S/SE: 2 (Rhodes, Emory)
GL: 4 (Calvin, Otterbein, Depauw, CWRU)
MW: 6 (NCC, WashU,LAX,UC,Eau Claire, Stout)
C: 4 (St. Olaf, Carleton, Wartburg, Cornell College)
W: 2 (PP, CMS)
Northeast Region: the top 4 are a lock, but the 5th place team has a strong chance at getting a bid based who they beat at regionals. Depending on who it is that comes in 5th, the region could only get 4.
Atlantic Region: Geneseo and RPI are obviously going to Nationals. However, the 3rd and 4th place teams are a toss up. If SLU comes in 3rd, RIT 4th and Oneonta come in 5th, the region sends 5. I think this is a very likely scenario. If RIT comes in 3rd and Oneonta comes in 4th, the region send 4.
Mid East Region: 3 very strong teams but the 4th(Dickinson) is not very good which leads me to believe they will only get 3 bids.
South/SouthEast: I do not need to go any further into this. Trash region. Only sending 2 teams.
Great Lakes: Likely will send 3 but also could send 4.
MidWest: Honestly, this is the most competitive region in the country. They could send 7 teams.
Central Region: Strong region but will only send 4 based on performances against other regions.
West: Only sending 2 this year. Pomona and CMS.