legit? wrote:
Your assertion that HCT means nothing because you have had a 49-55 and you suck at running compared to Webb, is interesting and I thank you for it.
Well Webb was indeed about 38 seconds faster than me over the mile in High School and I still got to run Division III for three seasons in spite of it. But must of my background is in cycling and I seriously doubt that I would be pegging these HcT numbers if I hadn't switched over back when my knees went. The spring that I got north of 54 percent HcT was my best year for Nordic Skiing in the last 20 but I was only doing it on weekends, almost all up over 8000 feet too. After hammering myself all that summer, mostly below 6000 feet I was down to 51 percent and about six pounds lighter.
Anyway I would caution you against taking these stories seriously at first glance. If you meander over to "the Clinic" in the forums at Cyclingnews you'll find:
A: The linkage between thick blood and people dying in their sleep is not nearly as cut and dried as it might appear.
You could make a case where it's a story that has taken on a life of its own, although I have no doubt that trainers were waking their riders up in the night after people started to believe it. There's actually about 20 pages worth of very granular back and forth dispute over that, including the one individual that Greg and Kathy LeMond had put out there as a poster child for EPO fatalities. (If I'm not mistaken that whole story actually came as a surprise to his widow years after his passing?)
I don't have a dog in this fight but now I would almost put that one on the same category as Roger DeVlaeminck walking down a Belgian street barefoot in a gown with his ass hanging out and a 300 lb. hospital bed strapped to his back because they were trying to get him off amphetamines and should have perhaps looked at bolting the bed down to the floor. (Which is said to have taken place mid-career; so who said that speed kills?)
B: Evidence of a plausible distribution of HcT values over 50 percent among trained athletes in circumstances where you can pretty much rule out EPO.
I know someone who made the National Team for Columbia in Road, Mountain Bike, and Cyclo-Cross (over a 15 year career but still that's a pretty damn short list.) He said that they thought values BELOW 46-48 percent from some parts of the country were suspect at the national training center and that one guy ended up in Europe sooner because someone had arbitrarily told him he would never make the top ten riders in the country if he had to prevail in some sort of trails process at altitude to do it. If he was going to make any money in the sport it was going to be at sea level, simple as that. This would be among promising 16 year old kids who didn't even have their own bed to sleep in where they came there from which is why I rule out doping. Rather than name this individual I would rather say that he did get very good advice as far as his accountant is concerned.
When I showed this guy my own panels he said that I would have been just high average for the part of the country that Nairo Quintana hails from. After some consideration he added that me being a 6 foot tall white boy probably adds about equivalent 2-3 percent HcT to the suspect-o-meter, but ultimately nobody was really gasping too hard at a 53 percent HcT panel there and his own 75 VO2 max was thought to be pretty pedestrian at the same facility.
(Until it didn't diminish at all as he got out past 35 years old which is still pretty remarkable.)