Where would Katelyn Tuohy have finished at NCAAs?

She made mincemeat of Rainsberger's course record in crap conditions, and Katie went on to get 4th at NCAAs last year. This was a tougher year, but she would have a solid shot at #8-12. She is good for a 15:3x-4x 5000, which puts her in that ballpark.

16:52 in XC over 5k ~ 20:24 over 6k in same conditions

Totally not a robot

The Convenient Conversions Guy wrote:

16:52 in XC over 5k ~ 20:24 over 6k in same conditions

Totally not a robot

So would have been 58th assuming Bowdoin Park is equally as tough as the course in Louisville. Not from the NE so I’m not sure how fair that assumption is.

Not a robot wrote:

The Convenient Conversions Guy wrote:

16:52 in XC over 5k ~ 20:24 over 6k in same conditions

Totally not a robot

So would have been 58th assuming Bowdoin Park is equally as tough as the course in Louisville. Not from the NE so I’m not sure how fair that assumption is.

This is laughable. If you think she would be jogging along with the

4:20/9:20/16:10 girls you are utterly benighted.

Not a robot wrote:

The Convenient Conversions Guy wrote:

16:52 in XC over 5k ~ 20:24 over 6k in same conditions

Totally not a robot

So would have been 58th assuming Bowdoin Park is equally as tough as the course in Louisville. Not from the NE so I’m not sure how fair that assumption is.

Bowdoin Park is a monsterously hilly course. There is no college course to compare to it. Basically a mile straight up hill, follOwed by a mike down hill.

AllieO was NXN champ in 2014, and then came in 2nd at NCAAs in 2015. Katelyn is of the same, or higher, caliber. Therefore, I think she'd be top 15 for sure, and probably top 10.

riweofjwiefjowefj wrote:

From what she did today, All-American is not inconceivable. Discus

No chance in the discus , definitely in cross country .

I’m guessing too 5. And just a sophomore.

She'd do well! wrote:

AllieO was NXN champ in 2014, and then came in 2nd at NCAAs in 2015. Katelyn is of the same, or higher, caliber. Therefore, I think she'd be top 15 for sure, and probably top 10.

This. Especially after a season of adjusting to 6k racing. I'm going top 6 with 3 foreign 23 year olds ahead.

She'd do well! wrote:

AllieO was NXN champ in 2014, and then came in 2nd at NCAAs in 2015. Katelyn is of the same, or higher, caliber. Therefore, I think she'd be top 15 for sure, and probably top 10.

Finally, someone else with some sense!

Purrier ran 8:55 today and came 18th at NCAA XC

Schweizer ran 15:17 today and came 11th at NCAA XC

Kelati ran 15:37 today and came 7th at NCAA XC

Lokedi ran 15:39 today and came 44th at NCAA XC

So I guess that Tuohy would have came somewhere between 7th and 44th.

HS records are 9:00 and 15:45 respectively.

I think part of that had to do with Allie O being extremely undertrained in high school. That being said, Katelyn Tuohy is arguably already the greatest HS runner of all time as just a sophomore. I have no reason to believe she'll get worse because she's developed consistently since she was a 7th grade phenom. She probably wouldn't have stayed with the allegedly 26 year old Kurgat (about 10 year difference to tuohy...yikes). But I don't doubt she would've been top 5.

no reason to believe she'll get worse

It's not a matter of getting "worse." It's maturity. She's going to get bigger and I don't mean putting on 5-12 lbs over the next three years (till the NCAA) but that's a possibility too.

Until we get a more detailed picture of what her training is like and her genetic profile (is she going to get taller?) then we reallly can't project what things are going to be for her Fr. year?

It's apparent that she's done some strength training. She is by no mean waif-like (like a Zola Pieterse). Reminds me of Cathy Schiro though I hope she stays away from M' training for a long time.

Ppposisjsj wrote:

Purrier ran 8:55 today and came 18th at NCAA XC

Schweizer ran 15:17 today and came 11th at NCAA XC

Kelati ran 15:37 today and came 7th at NCAA XC

Lokedi ran 15:39 today and came 44th at NCAA XC

So I guess that Tuohy would have came somewhere between 7th and 44th.

HS records are 9:00 and 15:45 respectively.

Kurgat has a 5K PR of 15:19 and won NCAAs

Schweizer has a 5K PR of 15:17 and also has an NCAA XC title

10th place was 28 seconds behind Kurgat. Adjusted to 5K that is 24 seconds. 15:19 + 24 = 15:43. I rest my case.